Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, Meteobox, and The Weather Network indicate a likely daily high of 34–36 °C for Shenzhen on August 9, 2026, with some runs reaching 37 °C under clear afternoon conditions. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat-island effects support these values, while scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, making the current cluster near 36–37 °C slightly above normal. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the possibility of earlier rain timing, which explains the tight spread between the two leading outcomes and the modest probabilities assigned to 35 °C or 38 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date will likely refine these ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 9?
36°C 37%
37°C 33%
35°C 13%
38°C 13%
ใหม่
$52,689 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$52,689 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
13%
36°C
37%
37°C
33%
38°C
13%
39°C
7%
40°C or higher
2%
36°C 37%
37°C 33%
35°C 13%
38°C 13%
ใหม่
$52,689 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$52,689 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
30°C or below
$1,540 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$616 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$1,413 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$2,744 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$6,940 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$6,271 ปริมาณ
13%
36°C
$5,875 ปริมาณ
37%
37°C
$4,289 ปริมาณ
33%
38°C
$6,230 ปริมาณ
13%
39°C
$6,827 ปริมาณ
7%
40°C or higher
$9,942 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, Meteobox, and The Weather Network indicate a likely daily high of 34–36 °C for Shenzhen on August 9, 2026, with some runs reaching 37 °C under clear afternoon conditions. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat-island effects support these values, while scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, making the current cluster near 36–37 °C slightly above normal. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the possibility of earlier rain timing, which explains the tight spread between the two leading outcomes and the modest probabilities assigned to 35 °C or 38 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,689วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, Meteobox, and The Weather Network indicate a likely daily high of 34–36 °C for Shenzhen on August 9, 2026, with some runs reaching 37 °C under clear afternoon conditions. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat-island effects support these values, while scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, making the current cluster near 36–37 °C slightly above normal. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the possibility of earlier rain timing, which explains the tight spread between the two leading outcomes and the modest probabilities assigned to 35 °C or 38 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,689วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, Meteobox, and The Weather Network indicate a likely daily high of 34–36 °C for Shenzhen on August 9, 2026, with some runs reaching 37 °C under clear afternoon conditions. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat-island effects support these values, while scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, making the current cluster near 36–37 °C slightly above normal. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the possibility of earlier rain timing, which explains the tight spread between the two leading outcomes and the modest probabilities assigned to 35 °C or 38 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date will likely refine these ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย