Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 9, which is suppressing solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's strong 93% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting trader consensus on official guidance from agencies tracking regional atmospheric conditions, including humidity levels above 70% and limited sunshine duration. Historical early-August climatology shows typical highs of 30–32°C under clearer skies, but the current steering pattern and precipitation are shifting conditions downward. A realistic challenge would require earlier clearing of clouds or weaker rainfall than projected, potentially allowing temperatures to reach 29–30°C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
28°C 94%
29°C 6%
30°C 1.1%
31°C <1%
$243,138 ปริมาณ
$243,138 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
94%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 94%
29°C 6%
30°C 1.1%
31°C <1%
$243,138 ปริมาณ
$243,138 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
$15,654 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$11,463 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$13,331 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$49,587 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$46,902 ปริมาณ
94%
29°C
$31,244 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$29,512 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$17,988 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$10,623 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$5,694 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$11,140 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 9, which is suppressing solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's strong 93% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting trader consensus on official guidance from agencies tracking regional atmospheric conditions, including humidity levels above 70% and limited sunshine duration. Historical early-August climatology shows typical highs of 30–32°C under clearer skies, but the current steering pattern and precipitation are shifting conditions downward. A realistic challenge would require earlier clearing of clouds or weaker rainfall than projected, potentially allowing temperatures to reach 29–30°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$243,138วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 9, which is suppressing solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's strong 93% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting trader consensus on official guidance from agencies tracking regional atmospheric conditions, including humidity levels above 70% and limited sunshine duration. Historical early-August climatology shows typical highs of 30–32°C under clearer skies, but the current steering pattern and precipitation are shifting conditions downward. A realistic challenge would require earlier clearing of clouds or weaker rainfall than projected, potentially allowing temperatures to reach 29–30°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$243,138วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 9, which is suppressing solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's strong 93% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting trader consensus on official guidance from agencies tracking regional atmospheric conditions, including humidity levels above 70% and limited sunshine duration. Historical early-August climatology shows typical highs of 30–32°C under clearer skies, but the current steering pattern and precipitation are shifting conditions downward. A realistic challenge would require earlier clearing of clouds or weaker rainfall than projected, potentially allowing temperatures to reach 29–30°C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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