Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as those used by the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 9, suppressing solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 28–29°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 28°C at 83%, reflecting trader consensus on these conditions limiting peak temperatures below the typical August average of 31–32°C. Historical climatology shows August highs often reach 30°C or more under clear skies, but current atmospheric patterns, including elevated humidity and precipitation, reduce the likelihood of exceeding 29°C to under 20%. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
28°C 90%
29°C 11%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$237,818 ปริมาณ
$237,818 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
90%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 90%
29°C 11%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$237,818 ปริมาณ
$237,818 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
$15,654 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$11,463 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$13,331 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$49,587 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$45,669 ปริมาณ
90%
29°C
$29,588 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$28,056 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$17,016 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$10,621 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$5,694 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$11,140 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as those used by the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 9, suppressing solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 28–29°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 28°C at 83%, reflecting trader consensus on these conditions limiting peak temperatures below the typical August average of 31–32°C. Historical climatology shows August highs often reach 30°C or more under clear skies, but current atmospheric patterns, including elevated humidity and precipitation, reduce the likelihood of exceeding 29°C to under 20%. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$237,818วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as those used by the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 9, suppressing solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 28–29°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 28°C at 83%, reflecting trader consensus on these conditions limiting peak temperatures below the typical August average of 31–32°C. Historical climatology shows August highs often reach 30°C or more under clear skies, but current atmospheric patterns, including elevated humidity and precipitation, reduce the likelihood of exceeding 29°C to under 20%. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$237,818วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as those used by the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 9, suppressing solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 28–29°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 28°C at 83%, reflecting trader consensus on these conditions limiting peak temperatures below the typical August average of 31–32°C. Historical climatology shows August highs often reach 30°C or more under clear skies, but current atmospheric patterns, including elevated humidity and precipitation, reduce the likelihood of exceeding 29°C to under 20%. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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