**Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high at the Incheon station on August 9, 2026, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast of a 33–34°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies.** This positioning follows an intense early-August heatwave that produced record national temperatures elsewhere but showed signs of moderation in the Seoul metropolitan area, with KMA guidance incorporating higher cloud cover and light easterly flow that limits peak solar heating and boundary-layer warming. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups and the station’s measurement methodology (daily maximum from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. local time) reinforce expectations that readings will settle at the lower end of the forecast envelope. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly rapid clearing that allows additional insolation or stronger downslope warming, potentially lifting the Incheon maximum to 34°C; conversely, increased low-level moisture or earlier precipitation could cap it at or below 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and real-time observations on the day itself remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
33°C 98%
34°C 1.5%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$117,029 ปริมาณ
$117,029 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
98%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 98%
34°C 1.5%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$117,029 ปริมาณ
$117,029 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
$17,215 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$18,151 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$12,845 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$16,073 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$13,771 ปริมาณ
98%
34°C
$10,603 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$10,649 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$7,555 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$6,133 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$2,348 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$1,686 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high at the Incheon station on August 9, 2026, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast of a 33–34°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies.**
This positioning follows an intense early-August heatwave that produced record national temperatures elsewhere but showed signs of moderation in the Seoul metropolitan area, with KMA guidance incorporating higher cloud cover and light easterly flow that limits peak solar heating and boundary-layer warming. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups and the station’s measurement methodology (daily maximum from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. local time) reinforce expectations that readings will settle at the lower end of the forecast envelope.
A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly rapid clearing that allows additional insolation or stronger downslope warming, potentially lifting the Incheon maximum to 34°C; conversely, increased low-level moisture or earlier precipitation could cap it at or below 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and real-time observations on the day itself remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,029วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high at the Incheon station on August 9, 2026, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast of a 33–34°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies.**
This positioning follows an intense early-August heatwave that produced record national temperatures elsewhere but showed signs of moderation in the Seoul metropolitan area, with KMA guidance incorporating higher cloud cover and light easterly flow that limits peak solar heating and boundary-layer warming. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups and the station’s measurement methodology (daily maximum from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. local time) reinforce expectations that readings will settle at the lower end of the forecast envelope.
A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly rapid clearing that allows additional insolation or stronger downslope warming, potentially lifting the Incheon maximum to 34°C; conversely, increased low-level moisture or earlier precipitation could cap it at or below 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and real-time observations on the day itself remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,029วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high at the Incheon station on August 9, 2026, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast of a 33–34°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies.** This positioning follows an intense early-August heatwave that produced record national temperatures elsewhere but showed signs of moderation in the Seoul metropolitan area, with KMA guidance incorporating higher cloud cover and light easterly flow that limits peak solar heating and boundary-layer warming. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups and the station’s measurement methodology (daily maximum from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. local time) reinforce expectations that readings will settle at the lower end of the forecast envelope. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly rapid clearing that allows additional insolation or stronger downslope warming, potentially lifting the Incheon maximum to 34°C; conversely, increased low-level moisture or earlier precipitation could cap it at or below 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and real-time observations on the day itself remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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