Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and numerical models indicate a daily high of 33–34°C in Paris on August 9 under sunny intervals and light southeasterly winds, positioning these as the market leaders at combined 73.5% implied probability. Warm air advection from southern Europe combined with high pressure favoring strong daytime insolation supports this range, consistent with recent model consensus and historical late-summer baselines near 24–29°C. A modest risk of 35°C (12.5%) persists if peak heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes below 32°C remain unlikely given current observational trends and limited cloud cover. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum reading, with traders weighting the latest forecast updates most heavily.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 9?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 9?
34°C 41%
33°C 32%
35°C 13%
32°C 9%
ใหม่
$76,823 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$76,823 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
32%
34°C
41%
35°C
13%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 32%
35°C 13%
32°C 9%
ใหม่
$76,823 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$76,823 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
$7,614 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$5,791 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$9,475 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$10,097 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$8,948 ปริมาณ
9%
33°C
$8,666 ปริมาณ
32%
34°C
$10,916 ปริมาณ
41%
35°C
$7,197 ปริมาณ
13%
36°C
$4,502 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$1,913 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,703 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and numerical models indicate a daily high of 33–34°C in Paris on August 9 under sunny intervals and light southeasterly winds, positioning these as the market leaders at combined 73.5% implied probability. Warm air advection from southern Europe combined with high pressure favoring strong daytime insolation supports this range, consistent with recent model consensus and historical late-summer baselines near 24–29°C. A modest risk of 35°C (12.5%) persists if peak heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes below 32°C remain unlikely given current observational trends and limited cloud cover. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum reading, with traders weighting the latest forecast updates most heavily.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,823วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and numerical models indicate a daily high of 33–34°C in Paris on August 9 under sunny intervals and light southeasterly winds, positioning these as the market leaders at combined 73.5% implied probability. Warm air advection from southern Europe combined with high pressure favoring strong daytime insolation supports this range, consistent with recent model consensus and historical late-summer baselines near 24–29°C. A modest risk of 35°C (12.5%) persists if peak heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes below 32°C remain unlikely given current observational trends and limited cloud cover. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum reading, with traders weighting the latest forecast updates most heavily.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,823วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and numerical models indicate a daily high of 33–34°C in Paris on August 9 under sunny intervals and light southeasterly winds, positioning these as the market leaders at combined 73.5% implied probability. Warm air advection from southern Europe combined with high pressure favoring strong daytime insolation supports this range, consistent with recent model consensus and historical late-summer baselines near 24–29°C. A modest risk of 35°C (12.5%) persists if peak heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes below 32°C remain unlikely given current observational trends and limited cloud cover. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum reading, with traders weighting the latest forecast updates most heavily.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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