National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently favor a daily maximum near or slightly above 92°F in Central Park, driven by warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote strong daytime heating. This positions the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty around exact peak timing and any localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh these factors against typical early-August climatology, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs in the low-to-mid 90s, while monitoring for any late-day convective shifts that could cap the official maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 9?
92-93°F 53%
90-91°F 26%
94-95°F 21%
88-89°F 2%
ใหม่
$39,345 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$39,345 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
53%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 53%
90-91°F 26%
94-95°F 21%
88-89°F 2%
ใหม่
$39,345 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$39,345 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
81°F or below
$1,446 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$1,955 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$2,236 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$1,731 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$3,878 ปริมาณ
2%
90-91°F
$4,875 ปริมาณ
26%
92-93°F
$9,255 ปริมาณ
53%
94-95°F
$6,049 ปริมาณ
21%
96-97°F
$4,691 ปริมาณ
<1%
98-99°F
$2,772 ปริมาณ
<1%
100°F or higher
$458 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently favor a daily maximum near or slightly above 92°F in Central Park, driven by warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote strong daytime heating. This positions the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty around exact peak timing and any localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh these factors against typical early-August climatology, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs in the low-to-mid 90s, while monitoring for any late-day convective shifts that could cap the official maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,345วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently favor a daily maximum near or slightly above 92°F in Central Park, driven by warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote strong daytime heating. This positions the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty around exact peak timing and any localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh these factors against typical early-August climatology, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs in the low-to-mid 90s, while monitoring for any late-day convective shifts that could cap the official maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,345วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently favor a daily maximum near or slightly above 92°F in Central Park, driven by warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote strong daytime heating. This positions the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty around exact peak timing and any localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh these factors against typical early-August climatology, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs in the low-to-mid 90s, while monitoring for any late-day convective shifts that could cap the official maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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