Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum near or slightly above 92°F in Central Park on August 9 under warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. This positions the 92-93°F bin as the market leader, followed closely by 94-95°F, reflecting modest uncertainty from exact peak timing and possible localized sea-breeze moderation. August climatology shows a normal high near 83°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by persistent southerly flow. Traders are weighting outcomes accordingly, with lower bins discounted due to the absence of significant cooling mechanisms in the latest model runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 9?
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 24%
88-89°F 4%
ใหม่
$33,727 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$33,727 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 24%
88-89°F 4%
ใหม่
$33,727 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$33,727 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
81°F or below
$1,446 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$1,613 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$1,845 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$1,705 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$3,314 ปริมาณ
4%
90-91°F
$4,169 ปริมาณ
24%
92-93°F
$8,122 ปริมาณ
46%
94-95°F
$5,406 ปริมาณ
29%
96-97°F
$4,300 ปริมาณ
1%
98-99°F
$1,444 ปริมาณ
<1%
100°F or higher
$458 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum near or slightly above 92°F in Central Park on August 9 under warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. This positions the 92-93°F bin as the market leader, followed closely by 94-95°F, reflecting modest uncertainty from exact peak timing and possible localized sea-breeze moderation. August climatology shows a normal high near 83°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by persistent southerly flow. Traders are weighting outcomes accordingly, with lower bins discounted due to the absence of significant cooling mechanisms in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,727วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum near or slightly above 92°F in Central Park on August 9 under warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. This positions the 92-93°F bin as the market leader, followed closely by 94-95°F, reflecting modest uncertainty from exact peak timing and possible localized sea-breeze moderation. August climatology shows a normal high near 83°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by persistent southerly flow. Traders are weighting outcomes accordingly, with lower bins discounted due to the absence of significant cooling mechanisms in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,727วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum near or slightly above 92°F in Central Park on August 9 under warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. This positions the 92-93°F bin as the market leader, followed closely by 94-95°F, reflecting modest uncertainty from exact peak timing and possible localized sea-breeze moderation. August climatology shows a normal high near 83°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by persistent southerly flow. Traders are weighting outcomes accordingly, with lower bins discounted due to the absence of significant cooling mechanisms in the latest model runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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