The closely matched market-implied odds for a 23°C versus 24°C daily maximum in Mexico City on August 9 reflect uncertainty in afternoon peak readings amid typical late-summer conditions at 2,240 meters elevation. Trade winds, variable cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season, and urban heat island effects can easily shift the high by 1°C depending on the timing and intensity of convective showers, which often develop after solar noon and moderate surface temperatures. Official observations from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine resolution, with historical August averages near 23–24°C providing a baseline; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor the higher end while earlier storms or stronger mixing would cap readings lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 9?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 9?
23°C 40%
24°C 35%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
40%
24°C
35%
25°C
13%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 35%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
17°C or below
$466 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$383 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$446 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$162 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$373 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$339 ปริมาณ
9%
23°C
$875 ปริมาณ
40%
24°C
$2,875 ปริมาณ
35%
25°C
$1,053 ปริมาณ
13%
26°C
$673 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C or higher
$179 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for a 23°C versus 24°C daily maximum in Mexico City on August 9 reflect uncertainty in afternoon peak readings amid typical late-summer conditions at 2,240 meters elevation. Trade winds, variable cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season, and urban heat island effects can easily shift the high by 1°C depending on the timing and intensity of convective showers, which often develop after solar noon and moderate surface temperatures. Official observations from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine resolution, with historical August averages near 23–24°C providing a baseline; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor the higher end while earlier storms or stronger mixing would cap readings lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,825วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for a 23°C versus 24°C daily maximum in Mexico City on August 9 reflect uncertainty in afternoon peak readings amid typical late-summer conditions at 2,240 meters elevation. Trade winds, variable cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season, and urban heat island effects can easily shift the high by 1°C depending on the timing and intensity of convective showers, which often develop after solar noon and moderate surface temperatures. Official observations from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine resolution, with historical August averages near 23–24°C providing a baseline; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor the higher end while earlier storms or stronger mixing would cap readings lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,825วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds for a 23°C versus 24°C daily maximum in Mexico City on August 9 reflect uncertainty in afternoon peak readings amid typical late-summer conditions at 2,240 meters elevation. Trade winds, variable cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season, and urban heat island effects can easily shift the high by 1°C depending on the timing and intensity of convective showers, which often develop after solar noon and moderate surface temperatures. Official observations from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine resolution, with historical August averages near 23–24°C providing a baseline; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor the higher end while earlier storms or stronger mixing would cap readings lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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