Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime peak near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward that outcome. Typical August conditions feature highs averaging 32–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, yet recent model runs consistently project a brief spike driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit cooling. Official observations from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution based on the daily maximum reading. The low probabilities assigned to 39°C or higher reflect limited upside potential from any last-minute warming, while the minimal odds for cooler readings account for the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or precipitation altering the thermal profile before peak heating.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 9?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 9?
38°C 89%
39°C 8%
40°C 1.0%
31°C or below <1%
$42,545 ปริมาณ
$42,545 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
89%
39°C
8%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 89%
39°C 8%
40°C 1.0%
31°C or below <1%
$42,545 ปริมาณ
$42,545 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$549 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$695 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$1,363 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$1,351 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$2,329 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$5,714 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$9,380 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$5,783 ปริมาณ
89%
39°C
$4,688 ปริมาณ
8%
40°C
$5,878 ปริมาณ
1%
41°C or higher
$4,816 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime peak near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward that outcome. Typical August conditions feature highs averaging 32–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, yet recent model runs consistently project a brief spike driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit cooling. Official observations from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution based on the daily maximum reading. The low probabilities assigned to 39°C or higher reflect limited upside potential from any last-minute warming, while the minimal odds for cooler readings account for the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or precipitation altering the thermal profile before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,545วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime peak near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward that outcome. Typical August conditions feature highs averaging 32–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, yet recent model runs consistently project a brief spike driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit cooling. Official observations from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution based on the daily maximum reading. The low probabilities assigned to 39°C or higher reflect limited upside potential from any last-minute warming, while the minimal odds for cooler readings account for the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or precipitation altering the thermal profile before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,545วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime peak near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward that outcome. Typical August conditions feature highs averaging 32–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, yet recent model runs consistently project a brief spike driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit cooling. Official observations from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution based on the daily maximum reading. The low probabilities assigned to 39°C or higher reflect limited upside potential from any last-minute warming, while the minimal odds for cooler readings account for the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or precipitation altering the thermal profile before peak heating.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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