Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou point to a daily maximum temperature centered around 36°C on August 13, consistent with the market-implied probability of 43.5% for that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and scattered thunderstorms typical of the East Asian monsoon, often moderate or briefly elevate peaks through cloud cover and precipitation timing. Regional models show consensus for highs in the 35–37°C range, with urban heat island effects in the city potentially supporting the upper end of that band. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this week, though rapid changes in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the final observed maximum before markets resolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
36°C 45%
35°C 22%
37°C 18%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
22%
36°C
45%
37°C
18%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 45%
35°C 22%
37°C 18%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
$464 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$222 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$211 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$561 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$345 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$320 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$239 ปริมาณ
22%
36°C
$713 ปริมาณ
45%
37°C
$831 ปริมาณ
18%
38°C
$385 ปริมาณ
4%
39°C or higher
$223 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou point to a daily maximum temperature centered around 36°C on August 13, consistent with the market-implied probability of 43.5% for that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and scattered thunderstorms typical of the East Asian monsoon, often moderate or briefly elevate peaks through cloud cover and precipitation timing. Regional models show consensus for highs in the 35–37°C range, with urban heat island effects in the city potentially supporting the upper end of that band. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this week, though rapid changes in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the final observed maximum before markets resolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,507วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou point to a daily maximum temperature centered around 36°C on August 13, consistent with the market-implied probability of 43.5% for that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and scattered thunderstorms typical of the East Asian monsoon, often moderate or briefly elevate peaks through cloud cover and precipitation timing. Regional models show consensus for highs in the 35–37°C range, with urban heat island effects in the city potentially supporting the upper end of that band. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this week, though rapid changes in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the final observed maximum before markets resolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,507วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou point to a daily maximum temperature centered around 36°C on August 13, consistent with the market-implied probability of 43.5% for that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and scattered thunderstorms typical of the East Asian monsoon, often moderate or briefly elevate peaks through cloud cover and precipitation timing. Regional models show consensus for highs in the 35–37°C range, with urban heat island effects in the city potentially supporting the upper end of that band. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this week, though rapid changes in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the final observed maximum before markets resolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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