National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport indicate a high near 101°F on August 4 under sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant moisture or frontal activity expected. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability on the 100-101°F bin, as recent model runs have shown limited day-to-day variability and only modest potential for slight upward revisions from surface heating. Early August climatology features average highs near 96°F, so current conditions represent a modest heat anomaly driven by persistent subtropical ridging rather than an extreme event. Traders appear to be weighting the official forecast most heavily while assigning lower odds to 102°F-plus outcomes that would require stronger insolation or model shifts not currently supported.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on August 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 4?
100-101°F 56%
102-103°F 24%
98-99°F 14%
97°F or below 1.6%
ใหม่
$14,497 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,497 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
97°F or below
2%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 56%
102-103°F 24%
98-99°F 14%
97°F or below 1.6%
ใหม่
$14,497 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,497 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
97°F or below
$1,947 ปริมาณ
2%
98-99°F
$1,770 ปริมาณ
14%
100-101°F
$4,750 ปริมาณ
56%
102-103°F
$1,372 ปริมาณ
24%
104-105°F
$1,650 ปริมาณ
1%
106-107°F
$958 ปริมาณ
<1%
108-109°F
$385 ปริมาณ
<1%
110-111°F
$389 ปริมาณ
<1%
112-113°F
$519 ปริมาณ
<1%
114-115°F
$367 ปริมาณ
<1%
116°F or higher
$389 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport indicate a high near 101°F on August 4 under sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant moisture or frontal activity expected. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability on the 100-101°F bin, as recent model runs have shown limited day-to-day variability and only modest potential for slight upward revisions from surface heating. Early August climatology features average highs near 96°F, so current conditions represent a modest heat anomaly driven by persistent subtropical ridging rather than an extreme event. Traders appear to be weighting the official forecast most heavily while assigning lower odds to 102°F-plus outcomes that would require stronger insolation or model shifts not currently supported.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,497วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport indicate a high near 101°F on August 4 under sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant moisture or frontal activity expected. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability on the 100-101°F bin, as recent model runs have shown limited day-to-day variability and only modest potential for slight upward revisions from surface heating. Early August climatology features average highs near 96°F, so current conditions represent a modest heat anomaly driven by persistent subtropical ridging rather than an extreme event. Traders appear to be weighting the official forecast most heavily while assigning lower odds to 102°F-plus outcomes that would require stronger insolation or model shifts not currently supported.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,497วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport indicate a high near 101°F on August 4 under sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant moisture or frontal activity expected. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability on the 100-101°F bin, as recent model runs have shown limited day-to-day variability and only modest potential for slight upward revisions from surface heating. Early August climatology features average highs near 96°F, so current conditions represent a modest heat anomaly driven by persistent subtropical ridging rather than an extreme event. Traders appear to be weighting the official forecast most heavily while assigning lower odds to 102°F-plus outcomes that would require stronger insolation or model shifts not currently supported.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย