**National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs point to a Monday high near 73°F in Chicago, driven by cooler northerly-to-easterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating after weekend warmth in the upper 80s.** This positions the 72–73°F bin as the market favorite at 39% implied probability, with 74–75°F (22%) and 70–71°F (21%) reflecting minor spread in guidance around that central value. Recent NWS updates emphasize partly to mostly cloudy skies and southeast winds, consistent with post-frontal moderation typical for mid-September. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official and private forecasts heavily, as resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at Chicago’s primary reporting station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on September 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 14?
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 20%
76-77°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 20%
76-77°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
63°F or below
$176 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$61 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$85 ปริมาณ
3%
68-69°F
$36 ปริมาณ
6%
70-71°F
$766 ปริมาณ
20%
72-73°F
$310 ปริมาณ
37%
74-75°F
$224 ปริมาณ
22%
76-77°F
$96 ปริมาณ
9%
78-79°F
$107 ปริมาณ
4%
80-81°F
$179 ปริมาณ
1%
82°F or higher
$397 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs point to a Monday high near 73°F in Chicago, driven by cooler northerly-to-easterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating after weekend warmth in the upper 80s.** This positions the 72–73°F bin as the market favorite at 39% implied probability, with 74–75°F (22%) and 70–71°F (21%) reflecting minor spread in guidance around that central value. Recent NWS updates emphasize partly to mostly cloudy skies and southeast winds, consistent with post-frontal moderation typical for mid-September. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official and private forecasts heavily, as resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at Chicago’s primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,436วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs point to a Monday high near 73°F in Chicago, driven by cooler northerly-to-easterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating after weekend warmth in the upper 80s.** This positions the 72–73°F bin as the market favorite at 39% implied probability, with 74–75°F (22%) and 70–71°F (21%) reflecting minor spread in guidance around that central value. Recent NWS updates emphasize partly to mostly cloudy skies and southeast winds, consistent with post-frontal moderation typical for mid-September. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official and private forecasts heavily, as resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at Chicago’s primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,436วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs point to a Monday high near 73°F in Chicago, driven by cooler northerly-to-easterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating after weekend warmth in the upper 80s.** This positions the 72–73°F bin as the market favorite at 39% implied probability, with 74–75°F (22%) and 70–71°F (21%) reflecting minor spread in guidance around that central value. Recent NWS updates emphasize partly to mostly cloudy skies and southeast winds, consistent with post-frontal moderation typical for mid-September. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official and private forecasts heavily, as resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at Chicago’s primary reporting station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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