An incoming cold front and associated rain system are driving the tight clustering of market odds around 26–28°C for Chengdu’s September 9 high. Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds are expected to limit solar heating and advect cooler air into the Sichuan Basin, suppressing the peak temperature several degrees below recent 33–35°C readings. Forecasters from local meteorological sources and global models show consensus on moderate to heavy precipitation concentrated through the day, with the exact maximum hinging on rainfall timing, cloud breaks, and wind strength. Traders weigh these variables against historical September climatology, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs near 25–27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution among the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
27°C 32%
26°C 23%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
15%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
15%
26°C
23%
27°C
32%
28°C
22%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 32%
26°C 23%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
15%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
15%
26°C
23%
27°C
32%
28°C
22%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...An incoming cold front and associated rain system are driving the tight clustering of market odds around 26–28°C for Chengdu’s September 9 high. Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds are expected to limit solar heating and advect cooler air into the Sichuan Basin, suppressing the peak temperature several degrees below recent 33–35°C readings. Forecasters from local meteorological sources and global models show consensus on moderate to heavy precipitation concentrated through the day, with the exact maximum hinging on rainfall timing, cloud breaks, and wind strength. Traders weigh these variables against historical September climatology, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs near 25–27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution among the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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