Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate sunny conditions and a daytime high of 30–31°C for Beijing on August 9, 2026, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected to allow peak heating without convective suppression. This aligns with climatological norms near the Beginning of Autumn, where average August maxima hover near 30–32°C amid declining seasonal heat. Recent model consensus shows little divergence on temperature thresholds, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (56%) and 30°C (41.5%) as the implied outcomes, while assigning low probability to extremes given stable atmospheric patterns and absence of heatwave signals. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Beijing station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 9?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 9?
30°C 55%
31°C 35%
32°C 8%
33°C <1%
$32,405 ปริมาณ
$32,405 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
55%
31°C
35%
32°C
11%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 55%
31°C 35%
32°C 8%
33°C <1%
$32,405 ปริมาณ
$32,405 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
25°C or below
$438 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$675 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,278 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,399 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$4,512 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$4,330 ปริมาณ
55%
31°C
$4,693 ปริมาณ
35%
32°C
$4,325 ปริมาณ
11%
33°C
$4,971 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$3,152 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,632 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate sunny conditions and a daytime high of 30–31°C for Beijing on August 9, 2026, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected to allow peak heating without convective suppression. This aligns with climatological norms near the Beginning of Autumn, where average August maxima hover near 30–32°C amid declining seasonal heat. Recent model consensus shows little divergence on temperature thresholds, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (56%) and 30°C (41.5%) as the implied outcomes, while assigning low probability to extremes given stable atmospheric patterns and absence of heatwave signals. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Beijing station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,405วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate sunny conditions and a daytime high of 30–31°C for Beijing on August 9, 2026, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected to allow peak heating without convective suppression. This aligns with climatological norms near the Beginning of Autumn, where average August maxima hover near 30–32°C amid declining seasonal heat. Recent model consensus shows little divergence on temperature thresholds, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (56%) and 30°C (41.5%) as the implied outcomes, while assigning low probability to extremes given stable atmospheric patterns and absence of heatwave signals. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Beijing station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,405วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate sunny conditions and a daytime high of 30–31°C for Beijing on August 9, 2026, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected to allow peak heating without convective suppression. This aligns with climatological norms near the Beginning of Autumn, where average August maxima hover near 30–32°C amid declining seasonal heat. Recent model consensus shows little divergence on temperature thresholds, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (56%) and 30°C (41.5%) as the implied outcomes, while assigning low probability to extremes given stable atmospheric patterns and absence of heatwave signals. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Beijing station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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