**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place the expected high temperature in Austin on August 9 in the upper 90s, aligning closely with the market's leading bins of 98–99°F (55.5% implied probability) and 96–97°F (36.5%).** Typical August conditions feature daily highs averaging 96–98°F under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate daytime heating. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or tropical moisture influx, supporting temperatures near the seasonal norm rather than the rarer 100°F+ outcomes priced at just 5%. Low dew points and light southerly winds further limit heat buildup beyond the mid-to-upper 90s. Upcoming afternoon observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will determine the exact maximum, with traders weighting official measurements against climatological baselines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 9?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 9?
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 36%
94-95°F 6%
100-101°F 5%
ใหม่
$14,566 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,566 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 36%
94-95°F 6%
100-101°F 5%
ใหม่
$14,566 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,566 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
87°F or below
$1,453 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$1,892 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$719 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$508 ปริมาณ
1%
94-95°F
$1,006 ปริมาณ
6%
96-97°F
$2,034 ปริมาณ
36%
98-99°F
$4,941 ปริมาณ
56%
100-101°F
$702 ปริมาณ
5%
102-103°F
$552 ปริมาณ
<1%
104-105°F
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
106°F or higher
$468 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place the expected high temperature in Austin on August 9 in the upper 90s, aligning closely with the market's leading bins of 98–99°F (55.5% implied probability) and 96–97°F (36.5%).**
Typical August conditions feature daily highs averaging 96–98°F under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate daytime heating. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or tropical moisture influx, supporting temperatures near the seasonal norm rather than the rarer 100°F+ outcomes priced at just 5%. Low dew points and light southerly winds further limit heat buildup beyond the mid-to-upper 90s. Upcoming afternoon observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will determine the exact maximum, with traders weighting official measurements against climatological baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,566วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place the expected high temperature in Austin on August 9 in the upper 90s, aligning closely with the market's leading bins of 98–99°F (55.5% implied probability) and 96–97°F (36.5%).**
Typical August conditions feature daily highs averaging 96–98°F under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate daytime heating. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or tropical moisture influx, supporting temperatures near the seasonal norm rather than the rarer 100°F+ outcomes priced at just 5%. Low dew points and light southerly winds further limit heat buildup beyond the mid-to-upper 90s. Upcoming afternoon observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will determine the exact maximum, with traders weighting official measurements against climatological baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,566วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place the expected high temperature in Austin on August 9 in the upper 90s, aligning closely with the market's leading bins of 98–99°F (55.5% implied probability) and 96–97°F (36.5%).** Typical August conditions feature daily highs averaging 96–98°F under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate daytime heating. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or tropical moisture influx, supporting temperatures near the seasonal norm rather than the rarer 100°F+ outcomes priced at just 5%. Low dew points and light southerly winds further limit heat buildup beyond the mid-to-upper 90s. Upcoming afternoon observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will determine the exact maximum, with traders weighting official measurements against climatological baselines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย