National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a peak temperature near 103°F in Austin on August 17 under a strong upper-level ridge favoring subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating. This positions the 102–103°F bin as the dominant market outcome at 89% implied probability, consistent with typical August climatology where highs average near 100°F and recent observations from Camp Mabry show rapid warming from mid-70s mornings. Minor upside risk to 104–105°F reflects slight model spread in maximum heating, while lower bins remain negligible given the entrenched heat pattern. Official observations throughout the day will resolve the market against these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 17?
102-103°F 89%
104-105°F 11%
106-107°F 1.6%
108-109°F <1%
$28,687 ปริมาณ
$28,687 ปริมาณ
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
89%
104-105°F
11%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 89%
104-105°F 11%
106-107°F 1.6%
108-109°F <1%
$28,687 ปริมาณ
$28,687 ปริมาณ
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
$191 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$443 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$1,430 ปริมาณ
<1%
98-99°F
$1,879 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$11,674 ปริมาณ
<1%
102-103°F
$4,605 ปริมาณ
89%
104-105°F
$3,112 ปริมาณ
11%
106-107°F
$2,466 ปริมาณ
2%
108-109°F
$1,872 ปริมาณ
1%
110-111°F
$370 ปริมาณ
<1%
112°F or higher
$646 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a peak temperature near 103°F in Austin on August 17 under a strong upper-level ridge favoring subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating. This positions the 102–103°F bin as the dominant market outcome at 89% implied probability, consistent with typical August climatology where highs average near 100°F and recent observations from Camp Mabry show rapid warming from mid-70s mornings. Minor upside risk to 104–105°F reflects slight model spread in maximum heating, while lower bins remain negligible given the entrenched heat pattern. Official observations throughout the day will resolve the market against these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,687วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a peak temperature near 103°F in Austin on August 17 under a strong upper-level ridge favoring subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating. This positions the 102–103°F bin as the dominant market outcome at 89% implied probability, consistent with typical August climatology where highs average near 100°F and recent observations from Camp Mabry show rapid warming from mid-70s mornings. Minor upside risk to 104–105°F reflects slight model spread in maximum heating, while lower bins remain negligible given the entrenched heat pattern. Official observations throughout the day will resolve the market against these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,687วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a peak temperature near 103°F in Austin on August 17 under a strong upper-level ridge favoring subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating. This positions the 102–103°F bin as the dominant market outcome at 89% implied probability, consistent with typical August climatology where highs average near 100°F and recent observations from Camp Mabry show rapid warming from mid-70s mornings. Minor upside risk to 104–105°F reflects slight model spread in maximum heating, while lower bins remain negligible given the entrenched heat pattern. Official observations throughout the day will resolve the market against these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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