Recent political instability following the November 2025 coup and disputed election results has fragmented the field ahead of the December 6, 2026 vote under a two-round system. Transitional authorities, installed after ousting incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló, set the date amid ECOWAS pressure for a short transition and opposition releases, while barring the junta leader from running. Fernando Dias da Costa emerged as the leading challenger after receiving endorsements from excluded parties like the PAIGC, yet the crowded slate of over a dozen candidates—including independents and smaller party figures—continues to split support. Prohibition on opinion polls adds uncertainty, keeping trader consensus tight among the top contenders with room for shifts from campaign alliances, turnout patterns, or late procedural rulings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGuinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Umaro Sissoco Embaló 24.6%
Siga Batista 6.5%
Fernando Dias da Costa 3.1%
José Mário Vaz 2.8%
$337,125 ปริมาณ
$337,125 ปริมาณ
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
14%
Siga Batista
6%
Fernando Dias da Costa
16%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Baciro Djá
3%
João de Deus Mendes
3%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
3%
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
1%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló 24.6%
Siga Batista 6.5%
Fernando Dias da Costa 3.1%
José Mário Vaz 2.8%
$337,125 ปริมาณ
$337,125 ปริมาณ
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
14%
Siga Batista
6%
Fernando Dias da Costa
16%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Baciro Djá
3%
João de Deus Mendes
3%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
3%
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent political instability following the November 2025 coup and disputed election results has fragmented the field ahead of the December 6, 2026 vote under a two-round system. Transitional authorities, installed after ousting incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló, set the date amid ECOWAS pressure for a short transition and opposition releases, while barring the junta leader from running. Fernando Dias da Costa emerged as the leading challenger after receiving endorsements from excluded parties like the PAIGC, yet the crowded slate of over a dozen candidates—including independents and smaller party figures—continues to split support. Prohibition on opinion polls adds uncertainty, keeping trader consensus tight among the top contenders with room for shifts from campaign alliances, turnout patterns, or late procedural rulings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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