Florida's 9th congressional district features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking reelection against Republican challengers in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting has shifted the seat toward a Republican lean, as reflected in ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid R), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely R), and similar nonpartisan forecasters. The crowded Republican primary on August 18 features multiple candidates, including Jorge Martinez, Ben Butler, Thomas Chalifoux Jr., and Dan Green, with a recent Victory Insights poll showing a tight contest and high undecided share among likely primary voters. Trader consensus in the market assigns Republicans the leading probability, consistent with the district's altered partisan composition and historical patterns for open or competitive House seats under the new map.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$18,021 ปริมาณ
$18,021 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
24%
$18,021 ปริมาณ
$18,021 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,668 ปริมาณ
70%
Democratic Party
$7,353 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking reelection against Republican challengers in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting has shifted the seat toward a Republican lean, as reflected in ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid R), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely R), and similar nonpartisan forecasters. The crowded Republican primary on August 18 features multiple candidates, including Jorge Martinez, Ben Butler, Thomas Chalifoux Jr., and Dan Green, with a recent Victory Insights poll showing a tight contest and high undecided share among likely primary voters. Trader consensus in the market assigns Republicans the leading probability, consistent with the district's altered partisan composition and historical patterns for open or competitive House seats under the new map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,021วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking reelection against Republican challengers in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting has shifted the seat toward a Republican lean, as reflected in ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid R), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely R), and similar nonpartisan forecasters. The crowded Republican primary on August 18 features multiple candidates, including Jorge Martinez, Ben Butler, Thomas Chalifoux Jr., and Dan Green, with a recent Victory Insights poll showing a tight contest and high undecided share among likely primary voters. Trader consensus in the market assigns Republicans the leading probability, consistent with the district's altered partisan composition and historical patterns for open or competitive House seats under the new map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,021วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th congressional district features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking reelection against Republican challengers in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting has shifted the seat toward a Republican lean, as reflected in ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid R), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely R), and similar nonpartisan forecasters. The crowded Republican primary on August 18 features multiple candidates, including Jorge Martinez, Ben Butler, Thomas Chalifoux Jr., and Dan Green, with a recent Victory Insights poll showing a tight contest and high undecided share among likely primary voters. Trader consensus in the market assigns Republicans the leading probability, consistent with the district's altered partisan composition and historical patterns for open or competitive House seats under the new map.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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