Traders view Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of August 25–September 1 as highly variable, with market-implied odds spread across multiple bins and the narrowest edge to the 220–239 range at 13.5%. This reflects uncertainty over his baseline posting cadence on X, which fluctuates with news cycles, company developments at Tesla and xAI, and real-time commentary on cultural or political topics. Historical patterns show spikes during high-profile events or platform updates, yet the closely matched probabilities around 180–279 indicate no clear catalyst has emerged to consolidate sentiment. Upcoming earnings, product launches, or viral moments could still shift engagement, underscoring how personal posting rhythms remain difficult to forecast precisely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
200-219 12%
ใหม่
$17,116 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,116 ปริมาณ
Sep 1, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
5%
160-179
8%
180-199
12%
200-219
12%
220-239
14%
240-259
13%
260-279
11%
280-299
7%
300-319
5%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
2%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
1%
220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
200-219 12%
ใหม่
$17,116 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,116 ปริมาณ
Sep 1, 2026
<20
$1,571 ปริมาณ
<1%
20-39
$1,571 ปริมาณ
<1%
40-59
$571 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-79
$3,576 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-99
$441 ปริมาณ
1%
100-119
$437 ปริมาณ
1%
120-139
$284 ปริมาณ
3%
140-159
$265 ปริมาณ
5%
160-179
$531 ปริมาณ
8%
180-199
$88 ปริมาณ
12%
200-219
$469 ปริมาณ
12%
220-239
$816 ปริมาณ
14%
240-259
$1,116 ปริมาณ
13%
260-279
$612 ปริมาณ
11%
280-299
$167 ปริมาณ
7%
300-319
$75 ปริมาณ
5%
320-339
$92 ปริมาณ
3%
340-359
$243 ปริมาณ
2%
360-379
$416 ปริมาณ
2%
380-399
$741 ปริมาณ
2%
400-419
$673 ปริมาณ
2%
420-439
$792 ปริมาณ
1%
440-459
$251 ปริมาณ
1%
460-479
$244 ปริมาณ
1%
480-499
$373 ปริมาณ
1%
500+
$700 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of August 25–September 1 as highly variable, with market-implied odds spread across multiple bins and the narrowest edge to the 220–239 range at 13.5%. This reflects uncertainty over his baseline posting cadence on X, which fluctuates with news cycles, company developments at Tesla and xAI, and real-time commentary on cultural or political topics. Historical patterns show spikes during high-profile events or platform updates, yet the closely matched probabilities around 180–279 indicate no clear catalyst has emerged to consolidate sentiment. Upcoming earnings, product launches, or viral moments could still shift engagement, underscoring how personal posting rhythms remain difficult to forecast precisely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,116วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of August 25–September 1 as highly variable, with market-implied odds spread across multiple bins and the narrowest edge to the 220–239 range at 13.5%. This reflects uncertainty over his baseline posting cadence on X, which fluctuates with news cycles, company developments at Tesla and xAI, and real-time commentary on cultural or political topics. Historical patterns show spikes during high-profile events or platform updates, yet the closely matched probabilities around 180–279 indicate no clear catalyst has emerged to consolidate sentiment. Upcoming earnings, product launches, or viral moments could still shift engagement, underscoring how personal posting rhythms remain difficult to forecast precisely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,116วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of August 25–September 1 as highly variable, with market-implied odds spread across multiple bins and the narrowest edge to the 220–239 range at 13.5%. This reflects uncertainty over his baseline posting cadence on X, which fluctuates with news cycles, company developments at Tesla and xAI, and real-time commentary on cultural or political topics. Historical patterns show spikes during high-profile events or platform updates, yet the closely matched probabilities around 180–279 indicate no clear catalyst has emerged to consolidate sentiment. Upcoming earnings, product launches, or viral moments could still shift engagement, underscoring how personal posting rhythms remain difficult to forecast precisely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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