Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.5% QoQ, while beating forecasts, confirmed a slowdown from the prior quarter’s 1.1% pace amid restrictive monetary policy, with the Selic rate holding near 14%. High borrowing costs, fading fiscal stimulus, and a negative external-sector contribution—driven by rising imports—have weighed on domestic demand and household consumption. Market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered around zero or mild contraction for Q3, consistent with analyst views of continued cooling and full-year 2026 growth projections near 1.8–1.9%. Key swing factors include September inflation data, the next Copom decision, and commodity export trends, which could shift probabilities between slight contraction and modest positive growth.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
-0.3% to -0.1% 29%
0.0% to 0.2% 27%
0.3% to 0.5% 21%
0.6% to 0.8% 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 1, 2026
<-0.3%
10%
-0.3% to -0.1%
29%
0.0% to 0.2%
27%
0.3% to 0.5%
21%
0.6% to 0.8%
11%
0.9% to 1.1%
6%
≥1.2%
18%
-0.3% to -0.1% 29%
0.0% to 0.2% 27%
0.3% to 0.5% 21%
0.6% to 0.8% 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 1, 2026
<-0.3%
$63 ปริมาณ
10%
-0.3% to -0.1%
$583 ปริมาณ
29%
0.0% to 0.2%
$1,759 ปริมาณ
27%
0.3% to 0.5%
$53 ปริมาณ
21%
0.6% to 0.8%
$63 ปริมาณ
11%
0.9% to 1.1%
$53 ปริมาณ
6%
≥1.2%
$53 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.5% QoQ, while beating forecasts, confirmed a slowdown from the prior quarter’s 1.1% pace amid restrictive monetary policy, with the Selic rate holding near 14%. High borrowing costs, fading fiscal stimulus, and a negative external-sector contribution—driven by rising imports—have weighed on domestic demand and household consumption. Market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered around zero or mild contraction for Q3, consistent with analyst views of continued cooling and full-year 2026 growth projections near 1.8–1.9%. Key swing factors include September inflation data, the next Copom decision, and commodity export trends, which could shift probabilities between slight contraction and modest positive growth.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,627วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.5% QoQ, while beating forecasts, confirmed a slowdown from the prior quarter’s 1.1% pace amid restrictive monetary policy, with the Selic rate holding near 14%. High borrowing costs, fading fiscal stimulus, and a negative external-sector contribution—driven by rising imports—have weighed on domestic demand and household consumption. Market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered around zero or mild contraction for Q3, consistent with analyst views of continued cooling and full-year 2026 growth projections near 1.8–1.9%. Key swing factors include September inflation data, the next Copom decision, and commodity export trends, which could shift probabilities between slight contraction and modest positive growth.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,627วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.5% QoQ, while beating forecasts, confirmed a slowdown from the prior quarter’s 1.1% pace amid restrictive monetary policy, with the Selic rate holding near 14%. High borrowing costs, fading fiscal stimulus, and a negative external-sector contribution—driven by rising imports—have weighed on domestic demand and household consumption. Market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered around zero or mild contraction for Q3, consistent with analyst views of continued cooling and full-year 2026 growth projections near 1.8–1.9%. Key swing factors include September inflation data, the next Copom decision, and commodity export trends, which could shift probabilities between slight contraction and modest positive growth.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย