Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polls for the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary by 17–18 points over independent challengers, reflecting strong name recognition and party infrastructure in the at-large district. Bill Hill has secured union endorsements and fundraising momentum as an anti-incumbent independent, while Democrat Matt Schultz suspended his bid in July. Other declared candidates, including independents and minor-party entrants, remain lower-profile. Alaska’s system advances the top four finishers to the November general election under ranked-choice voting, making primary vote thresholds and turnout among Republican, independent, and Democratic blocs central to advancement. No major late developments have altered the polling trajectory in the final week before voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlaska At-Large Primary Winners
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners
$21,812 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
Nick Begich III
99%
Bill Hill
98%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
35%
Gavin Solomon
2%
John Williams
42%
Matt Schultz
35%
$21,812 ปริมาณ
Nick Begich III
$1,952 ปริมาณ
99%
Bill Hill
$3,794 ปริมาณ
98%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
$3,379 ปริมาณ
35%
Gavin Solomon
$4,147 ปริมาณ
2%
John Williams
$4,185 ปริมาณ
42%
Matt Schultz
$4,356 ปริมาณ
35%
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polls for the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary by 17–18 points over independent challengers, reflecting strong name recognition and party infrastructure in the at-large district. Bill Hill has secured union endorsements and fundraising momentum as an anti-incumbent independent, while Democrat Matt Schultz suspended his bid in July. Other declared candidates, including independents and minor-party entrants, remain lower-profile. Alaska’s system advances the top four finishers to the November general election under ranked-choice voting, making primary vote thresholds and turnout among Republican, independent, and Democratic blocs central to advancement. No major late developments have altered the polling trajectory in the final week before voting.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,812วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polls for the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary by 17–18 points over independent challengers, reflecting strong name recognition and party infrastructure in the at-large district. Bill Hill has secured union endorsements and fundraising momentum as an anti-incumbent independent, while Democrat Matt Schultz suspended his bid in July. Other declared candidates, including independents and minor-party entrants, remain lower-profile. Alaska’s system advances the top four finishers to the November general election under ranked-choice voting, making primary vote thresholds and turnout among Republican, independent, and Democratic blocs central to advancement. No major late developments have altered the polling trajectory in the final week before voting.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,812วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polls for the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary by 17–18 points over independent challengers, reflecting strong name recognition and party infrastructure in the at-large district. Bill Hill has secured union endorsements and fundraising momentum as an anti-incumbent independent, while Democrat Matt Schultz suspended his bid in July. Other declared candidates, including independents and minor-party entrants, remain lower-profile. Alaska’s system advances the top four finishers to the November general election under ranked-choice voting, making primary vote thresholds and turnout among Republican, independent, and Democratic blocs central to advancement. No major late developments have altered the polling trajectory in the final week before voting.
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