Presidential resignations remain exceptionally rare absent acute health crises or imminent impeachment proceedings, and no such developments have emerged in the current term. Trader consensus at 96.8% against resignation by December 31, 2026, reflects the lack of official statements, legal actions, or institutional pressures signaling an early exit despite recent approval ratings near 33% tied to ongoing foreign policy challenges. Historical patterns show incumbents typically complete terms unless confronted with overwhelming congressional opposition or personal incapacity. While low polling and midterm dynamics could intensify scrutiny, realistic shifts would require verifiable events such as sudden medical incapacity or bipartisan moves toward removal, none of which appear imminent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$527,810 Объем
$527,810 Объем
Да
$527,810 Объем
$527,810 Объем
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Presidential resignations remain exceptionally rare absent acute health crises or imminent impeachment proceedings, and no such developments have emerged in the current term. Trader consensus at 96.8% against resignation by December 31, 2026, reflects the lack of official statements, legal actions, or institutional pressures signaling an early exit despite recent approval ratings near 33% tied to ongoing foreign policy challenges. Historical patterns show incumbents typically complete terms unless confronted with overwhelming congressional opposition or personal incapacity. While low polling and midterm dynamics could intensify scrutiny, realistic shifts would require verifiable events such as sudden medical incapacity or bipartisan moves toward removal, none of which appear imminent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы