Anthropic holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the Text Arena Math market, driven by its Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 series dominating recent LMArena math-category leaderboards with the highest Elo ratings among frontier models. These releases demonstrate superior performance on competition-level reasoning tasks compared to OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants, which sit at 19% amid strong but secondary showings. Google trails at 1.7% while most others register negligible odds, reflecting limited recent math-specific gains. With end-of-September resolution approaching, traders are pricing in Anthropic’s current edge in arena-voted math benchmarks, though any surprise model update from OpenAI or Google could still narrow the gap before final evaluation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУ какой компании лучшая модель искусственного интеллекта Text Arena Math в конце сентября?
У какой компании лучшая модель искусственного интеллекта Text Arena Math в конце сентября?
Anthropic 76%
OpenAI 19%
Google 1.7%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,591 Объем
$56,591 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
76%
OpenAI
19%
2%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 76%
OpenAI 19%
Google 1.7%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,591 Объем
$56,591 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$16,023 Объем
76%
OpenAI
$18,791 Объем
19%
$8,002 Объем
2%
SpaceXAI
$527 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$1,333 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$642 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$3,433 Объем
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,234 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$1,067 Объем
<1%
Meta
$469 Объем
<1%
Nvidia
$499 Объем
<1%
DeepSeek
$565 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$458 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$466 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$450 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$449 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$459 Объем
<1%
Tencent
$609 Объем
<1%
StepFun
$518 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$599 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the Text Arena Math market, driven by its Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 series dominating recent LMArena math-category leaderboards with the highest Elo ratings among frontier models. These releases demonstrate superior performance on competition-level reasoning tasks compared to OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants, which sit at 19% amid strong but secondary showings. Google trails at 1.7% while most others register negligible odds, reflecting limited recent math-specific gains. With end-of-September resolution approaching, traders are pricing in Anthropic’s current edge in arena-voted math benchmarks, though any surprise model update from OpenAI or Google could still narrow the gap before final evaluation.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Объем
$56,591Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the Text Arena Math market, driven by its Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 series dominating recent LMArena math-category leaderboards with the highest Elo ratings among frontier models. These releases demonstrate superior performance on competition-level reasoning tasks compared to OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants, which sit at 19% amid strong but secondary showings. Google trails at 1.7% while most others register negligible odds, reflecting limited recent math-specific gains. With end-of-September resolution approaching, traders are pricing in Anthropic’s current edge in arena-voted math benchmarks, though any surprise model update from OpenAI or Google could still narrow the gap before final evaluation.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$56,591Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the Text Arena Math market, driven by its Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 series dominating recent LMArena math-category leaderboards with the highest Elo ratings among frontier models. These releases demonstrate superior performance on competition-level reasoning tasks compared to OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants, which sit at 19% amid strong but secondary showings. Google trails at 1.7% while most others register negligible odds, reflecting limited recent math-specific gains. With end-of-September resolution approaching, traders are pricing in Anthropic’s current edge in arena-voted math benchmarks, though any surprise model update from OpenAI or Google could still narrow the gap before final evaluation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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