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icon for В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?

В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?

icon for В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?

В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?

янв. 1, 2027

янв. 1, 2027

12-15 51.5%

16-19 46%

20-23 5%

32+ <1%

Polymarket

$80,500 Объем

12-15 51.5%

16-19 46%

20-23 5%

32+ <1%

Polymarket

$80,500 Объем

<12

$5,040 Объем

<1%

12-15

$28,177 Объем

52%

16-19

$14,168 Объем

46%

20-23

$13,352 Объем

5%

24-27

$10,806 Объем

<1%

28-31

$4,436 Объем

<1%

32+

$4,521 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent launches of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa have brought Waymo to 14 U.S. cities as of early September 2026, driving the tight market split between 12-15 and 16-19 cities by year-end. Rapid scaling of its 4,000-plus vehicle fleet, next-generation Ojai minivans, and sixth-generation autonomous tech supports further growth, yet each new market requires phased testing, mapping, and gradual rider rollout that limits additional full commercial entries in the remaining four months. Competition from Tesla's parallel expansions and Zoox testing adds pressure, while regulatory approvals and a 1 million weekly rides target underscore execution risks that keep trader sentiment balanced on near-term city count.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$80,500
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent launches of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa have brought Waymo to 14 U.S. cities as of early September 2026, driving the tight market split between 12-15 and 16-19 cities by year-end. Rapid scaling of its 4,000-plus vehicle fleet, next-generation Ojai minivans, and sixth-generation autonomous tech supports further growth, yet each new market requires phased testing, mapping, and gradual rider rollout that limits additional full commercial entries in the remaining four months. Competition from Tesla's parallel expansions and Zoox testing adds pressure, while regulatory approvals and a 1 million weekly rides target underscore execution risks that keep trader sentiment balanced on near-term city count.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$80,500
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «12-15» с 52%, за ним следует «16-19» с 46%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 52¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $80.5K с момента запуска рынка Jun 26, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?» — «12-15» с 52%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Следующий ближайший исход — «16-19» с 46%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.