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icon for В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?

В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?

icon for В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?

В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?

дек. 31

дек. 31

16-19 28%

<12 15.2%

20-23 15%

32+ 11%

Polymarket

$10,538 Объем

16-19 28%

<12 15.2%

20-23 15%

32+ 11%

Polymarket

$10,538 Объем

<12

$834 Объем

15%

12-15

$874 Объем

7%

16-19

$4,491 Объем

28%

20-23

$1,036 Объем

15%

24-27

$1,387 Объем

9%

28-31

$767 Объем

7%

32+

$1,149 Объем

11%

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout across more than a dozen U.S. metros, including recent driverless launches in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, underpins the closely matched market odds around 32+ cities versus lower brackets. Official statements outline groundwork for 20-plus additional U.S. markets plus Tokyo and London, supported by fleet scaling via domestic manufacturing and coverage expansions now exceeding 1,400 square miles in 11 cities. Competitive dynamics favor Waymo’s lead in paid robotaxi miles over slower rivals, yet regulatory approvals, mapping timelines, and production ramp-ups remain key swing factors that could limit net city count by year-end. Traders weigh these execution risks against historical expansion pace when assessing the narrow probability spread.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$10,538
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout across more than a dozen U.S. metros, including recent driverless launches in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, underpins the closely matched market odds around 32+ cities versus lower brackets. Official statements outline groundwork for 20-plus additional U.S. markets plus Tokyo and London, supported by fleet scaling via domestic manufacturing and coverage expansions now exceeding 1,400 square miles in 11 cities. Competitive dynamics favor Waymo’s lead in paid robotaxi miles over slower rivals, yet regulatory approvals, mapping timelines, and production ramp-ups remain key swing factors that could limit net city count by year-end. Traders weigh these execution risks against historical expansion pace when assessing the narrow probability spread.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$10,538
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «16-19» с 28%, за ним следует «<12» с 15%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $10.5K с момента запуска рынка Jun 26, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?» — «16-19» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<12» с 15%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.