Anthropic holds a commanding 92% market-implied probability for the top LiveBench Mathematics score at end of September because its recent Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 series have posted leading results on contamination-resistant math tasks, including high scores in algebra, geometry, and multi-step reasoning categories. Traders see these models' consistent edge in official evaluations and internal progress reports as likely to hold through the short window, reinforced by Anthropic's focus on advanced reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI's o3-mini and GPT-5 variants lead some overall LiveBench snapshots but trail in targeted math metrics. A late-month model release or benchmark refresh from OpenAI, DeepSeek, or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
Anthropic 92%
OpenAI 7%
DeepSeek <1%
Meta <1%
$44,159 Объем
$44,159 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
92%
OpenAI
7%
DeepSeek
<1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 92%
OpenAI 7%
DeepSeek <1%
Meta <1%
$44,159 Объем
$44,159 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$12,169 Объем
92%
OpenAI
$13,679 Объем
7%
DeepSeek
$3,154 Объем
<1%
Meta
$659 Объем
<1%
$1,250 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$807 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$1,070 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$689 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$848 Объем
<1%
Xiaomi
$574 Объем
<1%
SpaceXAI
$903 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$803 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$864 Объем
<1%
Nvidia
$926 Объем
<1%
Thinky
$768 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$748 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$682 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$657 Объем
<1%
Tencent
$934 Объем
<1%
StepFun
$686 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$1,288 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds a commanding 92% market-implied probability for the top LiveBench Mathematics score at end of September because its recent Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 series have posted leading results on contamination-resistant math tasks, including high scores in algebra, geometry, and multi-step reasoning categories. Traders see these models' consistent edge in official evaluations and internal progress reports as likely to hold through the short window, reinforced by Anthropic's focus on advanced reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI's o3-mini and GPT-5 variants lead some overall LiveBench snapshots but trail in targeted math metrics. A late-month model release or benchmark refresh from OpenAI, DeepSeek, or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Объем
$44,159Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds a commanding 92% market-implied probability for the top LiveBench Mathematics score at end of September because its recent Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 series have posted leading results on contamination-resistant math tasks, including high scores in algebra, geometry, and multi-step reasoning categories. Traders see these models' consistent edge in official evaluations and internal progress reports as likely to hold through the short window, reinforced by Anthropic's focus on advanced reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI's o3-mini and GPT-5 variants lead some overall LiveBench snapshots but trail in targeted math metrics. A late-month model release or benchmark refresh from OpenAI, DeepSeek, or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Объем
$44,159Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding 92% market-implied probability for the top LiveBench Mathematics score at end of September because its recent Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 series have posted leading results on contamination-resistant math tasks, including high scores in algebra, geometry, and multi-step reasoning categories. Traders see these models' consistent edge in official evaluations and internal progress reports as likely to hold through the short window, reinforced by Anthropic's focus on advanced reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI's o3-mini and GPT-5 variants lead some overall LiveBench snapshots but trail in targeted math metrics. A late-month model release or benchmark refresh from OpenAI, DeepSeek, or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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