Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
Anthropic 34%
Microsoft 34%
ByteDance 32%
StepFun 29%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
34%
Microsoft
34%
ByteDance
32%
StepFun
29%
Alibaba
22%
OpenAI
18%
Mistral
17%
SpaceXAI
17%
Z.ai
16%
Nvidia
16%
Moonshot
6%
Baidu
5%
Amazon
5%
MiniMax
5%
Meta
5%
14%
DeepSeek
5%
Meituan
5%
Xiaomi
4%
Thinky
14%
Tencent
1%
Anthropic 34%
Microsoft 34%
ByteDance 32%
StepFun 29%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$52 Объем
34%
Microsoft
$72 Объем
34%
ByteDance
$54 Объем
32%
StepFun
$72 Объем
29%
Alibaba
$52 Объем
22%
OpenAI
$63 Объем
18%
Mistral
$52 Объем
17%
SpaceXAI
$52 Объем
17%
Z.ai
$52 Объем
16%
Nvidia
$52 Объем
16%
Moonshot
$52 Объем
6%
Baidu
$52 Объем
5%
Amazon
$53 Объем
5%
MiniMax
$53 Объем
5%
Meta
$52 Объем
5%
$52 Объем
14%
DeepSeek
$52 Объем
5%
Meituan
$52 Объем
5%
Xiaomi
$44 Объем
4%
Thinky
$72 Объем
14%
Tencent
$76 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Объем
$1,189Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Объем
$1,189Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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