Anthropic holds an 86% implied probability in trader consensus for the top AI agent by end of September, reflecting its recent model releases and demonstrated strengths in reliable tool use, multi-step reasoning, and safe autonomous task execution that have outpaced competitors in third-party benchmarks. OpenAI trails at 11.5% amid ongoing refinements to its agent frameworks, while Google and other labs sit near zero due to slower visible progress on production-grade agents. The tight end-September resolution window amplifies focus on verifiable capability gaps rather than announcements, as traders weigh Anthropic's consistent edge in handling complex workflows against potential late surprises from rivals. This market-implied positioning highlights how real capital bets reward observable performance over marketing claims in a rapidly evolving field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВ какой компании лучший агент искусственного интеллекта в конце сентября?
В какой компании лучший агент искусственного интеллекта в конце сентября?
Anthropic 86%
OpenAI 11.5%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$181,838 Объем
$181,838 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
86%
OpenAI
12%
1%
Z.ai
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Anthropic 86%
OpenAI 11.5%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$181,838 Объем
$181,838 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$48,668 Объем
86%
OpenAI
$25,810 Объем
12%
$7,419 Объем
1%
Z.ai
$7,096 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$7,022 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$7,087 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$7,544 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$6,935 Объем
<1%
SpaceXAI
$7,505 Объем
<1%
Meta
$7,333 Объем
<1%
DeepSeek
$6,966 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$7,029 Объем
<1%
Nvidia
$7,098 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$6,903 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$7,020 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$6,884 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$6,980 Объем
<1%
Xiaomi
$539 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds an 86% implied probability in trader consensus for the top AI agent by end of September, reflecting its recent model releases and demonstrated strengths in reliable tool use, multi-step reasoning, and safe autonomous task execution that have outpaced competitors in third-party benchmarks. OpenAI trails at 11.5% amid ongoing refinements to its agent frameworks, while Google and other labs sit near zero due to slower visible progress on production-grade agents. The tight end-September resolution window amplifies focus on verifiable capability gaps rather than announcements, as traders weigh Anthropic's consistent edge in handling complex workflows against potential late surprises from rivals. This market-implied positioning highlights how real capital bets reward observable performance over marketing claims in a rapidly evolving field.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Объем
$181,838Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds an 86% implied probability in trader consensus for the top AI agent by end of September, reflecting its recent model releases and demonstrated strengths in reliable tool use, multi-step reasoning, and safe autonomous task execution that have outpaced competitors in third-party benchmarks. OpenAI trails at 11.5% amid ongoing refinements to its agent frameworks, while Google and other labs sit near zero due to slower visible progress on production-grade agents. The tight end-September resolution window amplifies focus on verifiable capability gaps rather than announcements, as traders weigh Anthropic's consistent edge in handling complex workflows against potential late surprises from rivals. This market-implied positioning highlights how real capital bets reward observable performance over marketing claims in a rapidly evolving field.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$181,838Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds an 86% implied probability in trader consensus for the top AI agent by end of September, reflecting its recent model releases and demonstrated strengths in reliable tool use, multi-step reasoning, and safe autonomous task execution that have outpaced competitors in third-party benchmarks. OpenAI trails at 11.5% amid ongoing refinements to its agent frameworks, while Google and other labs sit near zero due to slower visible progress on production-grade agents. The tight end-September resolution window amplifies focus on verifiable capability gaps rather than announcements, as traders weigh Anthropic's consistent edge in handling complex workflows against potential late surprises from rivals. This market-implied positioning highlights how real capital bets reward observable performance over marketing claims in a rapidly evolving field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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