The S&P 500 trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year and within 1-2% of August highs near 7,817. Robust second-quarter earnings growth, exceeding 50% year-over-year on a headline basis with broad sector participation, has anchored the advance, driven by AI-related capital expenditures in semiconductors, data centers, and infrastructure. Upward revisions to full-year 2026 EPS estimates reflect this momentum alongside one-time gains. Counterbalancing forces include the 10-year Treasury yield holding above 4.8%, persistent inflation near 3.4%, and the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI data likely to shape near-term sentiment and implied probabilities for monthly closing levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто поразит S&P 500 (SPY) в сентябре 2026 года?
Что поразит S&P 500 (SPY) в сентябре 2026 года?
$61,444 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
↑ $830
2%
↑ $820
3%
↑ $810
6%
↑ $800
12%
↑ $790
23%
↑ $780
54%
↑ $770
94%
↓ $760
62%
↓ $750
39%
↓ $740
24%
↓ $730
17%
↓ $720
15%
↓ $710
8%
↓ $700
3%
$61,444 Объем
↑ $830
$88 Объем
2%
↑ $820
$514 Объем
3%
↑ $810
$612 Объем
6%
↑ $800
$1,595 Объем
12%
↑ $790
$3,509 Объем
23%
↑ $780
$2,406 Объем
54%
↑ $770
$0 Объем
94%
↓ $760
$1,266 Объем
62%
↓ $750
$14,171 Объем
39%
↓ $740
$14,124 Объем
24%
↓ $730
$6,160 Объем
17%
↓ $720
$4,042 Объем
15%
↓ $710
$2,550 Объем
8%
↓ $700
$5,144 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500 trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year and within 1-2% of August highs near 7,817. Robust second-quarter earnings growth, exceeding 50% year-over-year on a headline basis with broad sector participation, has anchored the advance, driven by AI-related capital expenditures in semiconductors, data centers, and infrastructure. Upward revisions to full-year 2026 EPS estimates reflect this momentum alongside one-time gains. Counterbalancing forces include the 10-year Treasury yield holding above 4.8%, persistent inflation near 3.4%, and the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI data likely to shape near-term sentiment and implied probabilities for monthly closing levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Объем
$61,444Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500 trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year and within 1-2% of August highs near 7,817. Robust second-quarter earnings growth, exceeding 50% year-over-year on a headline basis with broad sector participation, has anchored the advance, driven by AI-related capital expenditures in semiconductors, data centers, and infrastructure. Upward revisions to full-year 2026 EPS estimates reflect this momentum alongside one-time gains. Counterbalancing forces include the 10-year Treasury yield holding above 4.8%, persistent inflation near 3.4%, and the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI data likely to shape near-term sentiment and implied probabilities for monthly closing levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Объем
$61,444Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year and within 1-2% of August highs near 7,817. Robust second-quarter earnings growth, exceeding 50% year-over-year on a headline basis with broad sector participation, has anchored the advance, driven by AI-related capital expenditures in semiconductors, data centers, and infrastructure. Upward revisions to full-year 2026 EPS estimates reflect this momentum alongside one-time gains. Counterbalancing forces include the 10-year Treasury yield holding above 4.8%, persistent inflation near 3.4%, and the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI data likely to shape near-term sentiment and implied probabilities for monthly closing levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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