Strong corporate earnings, particularly in technology and AI infrastructure, have driven recent S&P 500 gains of roughly 12% year-to-date through mid-September 2026, with the index trading near 7,500–7,670 amid 86% earnings beat rates. Wall Street strategists have lifted 2026 year-end targets, with HSBC at 8,100, Barclays at 7,950, and JPMorgan at 7,800, reflecting upward EPS revisions to $350–$365 and expectations for over 25% second-half growth. Persistent inflation, including August core CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, has shifted Fed expectations toward potential rate hikes under Chair Kevin Warsh, with futures pricing elevated odds for near-term tightening. These dynamics—AI-led profit momentum versus sticky price pressures and policy risks—shape aggregated trader views on December closing levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?
Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?
$355,047 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
4%
↑ $9,000
50%
↑ $8 600
11%
↑ $8,200
27%
↑ $8,000
44%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
48%
↓ $7,000
34%
↓ $6,200
22%
↓ $6,000
14%
↓ $5 800
9%
↓ $5 200
7%
↓ $4,500
4%
$355,047 Объем
↑ $10,000
$425 Объем
3%
↑ $9,300
$10,026 Объем
4%
↑ $9,000
$138 Объем
50%
↑ $8 600
$31,740 Объем
11%
↑ $8,200
$23,856 Объем
27%
↑ $8,000
$571 Объем
44%
↓ $7,400
$15 Объем
73%
↓ $7,200
$159 Объем
48%
↓ $7,000
$1,090 Объем
34%
↓ $6,200
$57,316 Объем
22%
↓ $6,000
$4,170 Объем
14%
↓ $5 800
$42,734 Объем
9%
↓ $5 200
$62,331 Объем
7%
↓ $4,500
$60,426 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Strong corporate earnings, particularly in technology and AI infrastructure, have driven recent S&P 500 gains of roughly 12% year-to-date through mid-September 2026, with the index trading near 7,500–7,670 amid 86% earnings beat rates. Wall Street strategists have lifted 2026 year-end targets, with HSBC at 8,100, Barclays at 7,950, and JPMorgan at 7,800, reflecting upward EPS revisions to $350–$365 and expectations for over 25% second-half growth. Persistent inflation, including August core CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, has shifted Fed expectations toward potential rate hikes under Chair Kevin Warsh, with futures pricing elevated odds for near-term tightening. These dynamics—AI-led profit momentum versus sticky price pressures and policy risks—shape aggregated trader views on December closing levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Объем
$355,047Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Strong corporate earnings, particularly in technology and AI infrastructure, have driven recent S&P 500 gains of roughly 12% year-to-date through mid-September 2026, with the index trading near 7,500–7,670 amid 86% earnings beat rates. Wall Street strategists have lifted 2026 year-end targets, with HSBC at 8,100, Barclays at 7,950, and JPMorgan at 7,800, reflecting upward EPS revisions to $350–$365 and expectations for over 25% second-half growth. Persistent inflation, including August core CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, has shifted Fed expectations toward potential rate hikes under Chair Kevin Warsh, with futures pricing elevated odds for near-term tightening. These dynamics—AI-led profit momentum versus sticky price pressures and policy risks—shape aggregated trader views on December closing levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Объем
$355,047Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Strong corporate earnings, particularly in technology and AI infrastructure, have driven recent S&P 500 gains of roughly 12% year-to-date through mid-September 2026, with the index trading near 7,500–7,670 amid 86% earnings beat rates. Wall Street strategists have lifted 2026 year-end targets, with HSBC at 8,100, Barclays at 7,950, and JPMorgan at 7,800, reflecting upward EPS revisions to $350–$365 and expectations for over 25% second-half growth. Persistent inflation, including August core CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, has shifted Fed expectations toward potential rate hikes under Chair Kevin Warsh, with futures pricing elevated odds for near-term tightening. These dynamics—AI-led profit momentum versus sticky price pressures and policy risks—shape aggregated trader views on December closing levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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