The S&P 500 trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 12.75% year-to-date, with gains driven primarily by strong corporate earnings growth rather than multiple expansion. Persistent inflation—July core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline CPI near 3.4%—combined with a solid but moderating labor market (August payrolls and unemployment around 4.1-4.3%) has kept the Federal Reserve hawkish under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the funds rate at 3.50-3.75% and markets pricing possible hikes ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Elevated oil prices near $91 and AI-fueled capex continue to support earnings momentum while adding to price pressures, creating a narrow window for further upside before additional data on inflation, jobs, and policy expectations clarify the path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто поразит S&P 500 (SPY) в сентябре 2026 года?
Что поразит S&P 500 (SPY) в сентябре 2026 года?
$61,474 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
↑ $830
2%
↑ $820
3%
↑ $810
6%
↑ $800
13%
↑ $790
23%
↑ $780
54%
↑ $770
92%
↓ $760
66%
↓ $750
37%
↓ $740
24%
↓ $730
16%
↓ $720
14%
↓ $710
8%
↓ $700
3%
$61,474 Объем
↑ $830
$88 Объем
2%
↑ $820
$514 Объем
3%
↑ $810
$612 Объем
6%
↑ $800
$1,595 Объем
13%
↑ $790
$3,509 Объем
23%
↑ $780
$2,406 Объем
54%
↑ $770
$0 Объем
92%
↓ $760
$1,266 Объем
66%
↓ $750
$14,171 Объем
37%
↓ $740
$14,124 Объем
24%
↓ $730
$6,160 Объем
16%
↓ $720
$4,072 Объем
14%
↓ $710
$2,550 Объем
8%
↓ $700
$5,144 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500 trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 12.75% year-to-date, with gains driven primarily by strong corporate earnings growth rather than multiple expansion. Persistent inflation—July core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline CPI near 3.4%—combined with a solid but moderating labor market (August payrolls and unemployment around 4.1-4.3%) has kept the Federal Reserve hawkish under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the funds rate at 3.50-3.75% and markets pricing possible hikes ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Elevated oil prices near $91 and AI-fueled capex continue to support earnings momentum while adding to price pressures, creating a narrow window for further upside before additional data on inflation, jobs, and policy expectations clarify the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Объем
$61,474Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500 trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 12.75% year-to-date, with gains driven primarily by strong corporate earnings growth rather than multiple expansion. Persistent inflation—July core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline CPI near 3.4%—combined with a solid but moderating labor market (August payrolls and unemployment around 4.1-4.3%) has kept the Federal Reserve hawkish under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the funds rate at 3.50-3.75% and markets pricing possible hikes ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Elevated oil prices near $91 and AI-fueled capex continue to support earnings momentum while adding to price pressures, creating a narrow window for further upside before additional data on inflation, jobs, and policy expectations clarify the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Объем
$61,474Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 12.75% year-to-date, with gains driven primarily by strong corporate earnings growth rather than multiple expansion. Persistent inflation—July core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline CPI near 3.4%—combined with a solid but moderating labor market (August payrolls and unemployment around 4.1-4.3%) has kept the Federal Reserve hawkish under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the funds rate at 3.50-3.75% and markets pricing possible hikes ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Elevated oil prices near $91 and AI-fueled capex continue to support earnings momentum while adding to price pressures, creating a narrow window for further upside before additional data on inflation, jobs, and policy expectations clarify the path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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