**No comprehensive federal AI safety legislation regulating frontier models has advanced to enactment as of mid-2026.** States including California, New York, and Illinois have passed targeted transparency, auditing, and incident-reporting requirements for large-scale AI developers, while Congress has only released discussion drafts such as the Great American AI Act and advanced narrower measures on child safety, deepfakes, and nonconsensual imagery. An administration executive order emphasizes national preemption of conflicting state rules and a uniform framework, shifting focus away from new mandatory federal safety standards. With limited legislative calendar time remaining, ongoing preemption debates, and prioritization of other policy areas, traders see enactment of a broad AI safety bill before 2027 as unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
11% вероятность
$101,407 Объем
$101,407 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
11% вероятность
$101,407 Объем
$101,407 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **No comprehensive federal AI safety legislation regulating frontier models has advanced to enactment as of mid-2026.** States including California, New York, and Illinois have passed targeted transparency, auditing, and incident-reporting requirements for large-scale AI developers, while Congress has only released discussion drafts such as the Great American AI Act and advanced narrower measures on child safety, deepfakes, and nonconsensual imagery.
An administration executive order emphasizes national preemption of conflicting state rules and a uniform framework, shifting focus away from new mandatory federal safety standards. With limited legislative calendar time remaining, ongoing preemption debates, and prioritization of other policy areas, traders see enactment of a broad AI safety bill before 2027 as unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Объем
$101,407Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **No comprehensive federal AI safety legislation regulating frontier models has advanced to enactment as of mid-2026.** States including California, New York, and Illinois have passed targeted transparency, auditing, and incident-reporting requirements for large-scale AI developers, while Congress has only released discussion drafts such as the Great American AI Act and advanced narrower measures on child safety, deepfakes, and nonconsensual imagery.
An administration executive order emphasizes national preemption of conflicting state rules and a uniform framework, shifting focus away from new mandatory federal safety standards. With limited legislative calendar time remaining, ongoing preemption debates, and prioritization of other policy areas, traders see enactment of a broad AI safety bill before 2027 as unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$101,407Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No comprehensive federal AI safety legislation regulating frontier models has advanced to enactment as of mid-2026.** States including California, New York, and Illinois have passed targeted transparency, auditing, and incident-reporting requirements for large-scale AI developers, while Congress has only released discussion drafts such as the Great American AI Act and advanced narrower measures on child safety, deepfakes, and nonconsensual imagery. An administration executive order emphasizes national preemption of conflicting state rules and a uniform framework, shifting focus away from new mandatory federal safety standards. With limited legislative calendar time remaining, ongoing preemption debates, and prioritization of other policy areas, traders see enactment of a broad AI safety bill before 2027 as unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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