OpenAI holds the strongest position at 49% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, reflecting its Agents SDK advancements and Codex performance on autonomous coding benchmarks, yet the market remains tightly clustered near 50% for Other and several contenders due to rapid progress across labs. Anthropic's Claude Code framework leads recent coding agent evaluations with superior subagent control and context handling, while Google's ADK 2.0 emphasizes platform integration and A2A protocols. Chinese entrants like Moonshot's Kimi K3 and Meituan's LongCat 2.0 have narrowed capability gaps on key tasks, heightening uncertainty around enterprise adoption, multi-agent systems, and benchmark gains in the final weeks before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторая лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце августа?
Вторая лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце августа?
OpenAI 49%
Google 42%
Meituan 39%
Amazon 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
OpenAI
49%
42%
Meituan
39%
Amazon
32%
Nvidia
19%
Meta
18%
SpaceXAI
17%
DeepSeek
15%
Z.ai
13%
Alibaba
12%
MiniMax
12%
Microsoft
12%
ByteDance
6%
Anthropic
15%
Moonshot
23%
Xiaomi
18%
Mistral
17%
Baidu
1%
OpenAI 49%
Google 42%
Meituan 39%
Amazon 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
OpenAI
$180 Объем
49%
$60 Объем
42%
Meituan
$25 Объем
39%
Amazon
$32 Объем
32%
Nvidia
$65 Объем
19%
Meta
$60 Объем
18%
SpaceXAI
$60 Объем
17%
DeepSeek
$60 Объем
15%
Z.ai
$60 Объем
13%
Alibaba
$69 Объем
12%
MiniMax
$70 Объем
12%
Microsoft
$139 Объем
12%
ByteDance
$195 Объем
6%
Anthropic
$73 Объем
15%
Moonshot
$44 Объем
23%
Xiaomi
$73 Объем
18%
Mistral
$86 Объем
17%
Baidu
$143 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds the strongest position at 49% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, reflecting its Agents SDK advancements and Codex performance on autonomous coding benchmarks, yet the market remains tightly clustered near 50% for Other and several contenders due to rapid progress across labs. Anthropic's Claude Code framework leads recent coding agent evaluations with superior subagent control and context handling, while Google's ADK 2.0 emphasizes platform integration and A2A protocols. Chinese entrants like Moonshot's Kimi K3 and Meituan's LongCat 2.0 have narrowed capability gaps on key tasks, heightening uncertainty around enterprise adoption, multi-agent systems, and benchmark gains in the final weeks before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Объем
$1,493Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds the strongest position at 49% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, reflecting its Agents SDK advancements and Codex performance on autonomous coding benchmarks, yet the market remains tightly clustered near 50% for Other and several contenders due to rapid progress across labs. Anthropic's Claude Code framework leads recent coding agent evaluations with superior subagent control and context handling, while Google's ADK 2.0 emphasizes platform integration and A2A protocols. Chinese entrants like Moonshot's Kimi K3 and Meituan's LongCat 2.0 have narrowed capability gaps on key tasks, heightening uncertainty around enterprise adoption, multi-agent systems, and benchmark gains in the final weeks before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$1,493Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds the strongest position at 49% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, reflecting its Agents SDK advancements and Codex performance on autonomous coding benchmarks, yet the market remains tightly clustered near 50% for Other and several contenders due to rapid progress across labs. Anthropic's Claude Code framework leads recent coding agent evaluations with superior subagent control and context handling, while Google's ADK 2.0 emphasizes platform integration and A2A protocols. Chinese entrants like Moonshot's Kimi K3 and Meituan's LongCat 2.0 have narrowed capability gaps on key tasks, heightening uncertainty around enterprise adoption, multi-agent systems, and benchmark gains in the final weeks before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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