Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 38-39% for Donald Trump's approval rating on August 7, with the highest probabilities on 39.0+ and the adjacent 38.5–38.9 range. This reflects polling stability over recent weeks amid steady economic indicators, border enforcement metrics, and foreign policy developments in the second term. The narrow spread highlights how small daily movements in public sentiment on trade, inflation trends, and legislative progress keep multiple outcomes competitive. Releases of employment or consumer data in the coming days, or any notable diplomatic or regulatory announcements, could shift probabilities by altering short-term perceptions before the target date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено37,0–37,4 49%
38,5–38,9 49%
37,5–37,9 47%
38,0–38,4 47%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
<37,0
38%
37,0–37,4
49%
37,5–37,9
47%
38,0–38,4
47%
38,5–38,9
49%
39,0+
46%
37,0–37,4 49%
38,5–38,9 49%
37,5–37,9 47%
38,0–38,4 47%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
<37,0
$53 Объем
38%
37,0–37,4
$0 Объем
49%
37,5–37,9
$0 Объем
47%
38,0–38,4
$0 Объем
47%
38,5–38,9
$0 Объем
49%
39,0+
$0 Объем
46%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 38-39% for Donald Trump's approval rating on August 7, with the highest probabilities on 39.0+ and the adjacent 38.5–38.9 range. This reflects polling stability over recent weeks amid steady economic indicators, border enforcement metrics, and foreign policy developments in the second term. The narrow spread highlights how small daily movements in public sentiment on trade, inflation trends, and legislative progress keep multiple outcomes competitive. Releases of employment or consumer data in the coming days, or any notable diplomatic or regulatory announcements, could shift probabilities by altering short-term perceptions before the target date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Объем
$53Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 38-39% for Donald Trump's approval rating on August 7, with the highest probabilities on 39.0+ and the adjacent 38.5–38.9 range. This reflects polling stability over recent weeks amid steady economic indicators, border enforcement metrics, and foreign policy developments in the second term. The narrow spread highlights how small daily movements in public sentiment on trade, inflation trends, and legislative progress keep multiple outcomes competitive. Releases of employment or consumer data in the coming days, or any notable diplomatic or regulatory announcements, could shift probabilities by altering short-term perceptions before the target date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$53Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 38-39% for Donald Trump's approval rating on August 7, with the highest probabilities on 39.0+ and the adjacent 38.5–38.9 range. This reflects polling stability over recent weeks amid steady economic indicators, border enforcement metrics, and foreign policy developments in the second term. The narrow spread highlights how small daily movements in public sentiment on trade, inflation trends, and legislative progress keep multiple outcomes competitive. Releases of employment or consumer data in the coming days, or any notable diplomatic or regulatory announcements, could shift probabilities by altering short-term perceptions before the target date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы