Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Diana Harshbarger advancing unopposed through the August 2026 primary after securing 78 percent in 2024. The district's R+29 partisan voter index, consistent support for Republican presidential candidates, and recent mid-decade redistricting that preserved its eastern Tennessee base underpin trader consensus around a 95 percent Republican win probability. Kristi Burke's Democratic nomination following her primary victory has not altered the fundamentals, as independent and minor-party candidates further fragment opposition. Late developments capable of shifting odds include a major scandal or health event affecting Harshbarger, an unprecedented national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns, or unexpected primary challenges that fail to materialize under current conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей TN-01
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей TN-01
$27,037 Объем
$27,037 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
96%
Демократическая партия
4%
$27,037 Объем
$27,037 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$21,614 Объем
96%
Демократическая партия
$5,423 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Diana Harshbarger advancing unopposed through the August 2026 primary after securing 78 percent in 2024. The district's R+29 partisan voter index, consistent support for Republican presidential candidates, and recent mid-decade redistricting that preserved its eastern Tennessee base underpin trader consensus around a 95 percent Republican win probability. Kristi Burke's Democratic nomination following her primary victory has not altered the fundamentals, as independent and minor-party candidates further fragment opposition. Late developments capable of shifting odds include a major scandal or health event affecting Harshbarger, an unprecedented national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns, or unexpected primary challenges that fail to materialize under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$27,037Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Diana Harshbarger advancing unopposed through the August 2026 primary after securing 78 percent in 2024. The district's R+29 partisan voter index, consistent support for Republican presidential candidates, and recent mid-decade redistricting that preserved its eastern Tennessee base underpin trader consensus around a 95 percent Republican win probability. Kristi Burke's Democratic nomination following her primary victory has not altered the fundamentals, as independent and minor-party candidates further fragment opposition. Late developments capable of shifting odds include a major scandal or health event affecting Harshbarger, an unprecedented national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns, or unexpected primary challenges that fail to materialize under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$27,037Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Diana Harshbarger advancing unopposed through the August 2026 primary after securing 78 percent in 2024. The district's R+29 partisan voter index, consistent support for Republican presidential candidates, and recent mid-decade redistricting that preserved its eastern Tennessee base underpin trader consensus around a 95 percent Republican win probability. Kristi Burke's Democratic nomination following her primary victory has not altered the fundamentals, as independent and minor-party candidates further fragment opposition. Late developments capable of shifting odds include a major scandal or health event affecting Harshbarger, an unprecedented national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns, or unexpected primary challenges that fail to materialize under current conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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