Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Nebraska Senate race because of the state's consistent Republican tilt, his primary victory with more than 81 percent of the vote in May, and the structural advantages of incumbency after his 2023 appointment and 2024 special election win. The contest has narrowed to a head-to-head matchup following Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank's July withdrawal, which consolidated non-Republican support behind independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader who came within seven points of Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Recent polling averages show Ricketts ahead by roughly four to six points, producing implied probabilities that align with the current market consensus while leaving room for shifts driven by turnout among independents and late-cycle dynamics before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Небраска
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Небраска
Пит Рикеттс (Р) 69%
Независимый 31%
Демократ <1%
$219,527 Объем
$219,527 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Пит Рикеттс (Р)
69%
Независимый
31%
Демократ
<1%
Пит Рикеттс (Р) 69%
Независимый 31%
Демократ <1%
$219,527 Объем
$219,527 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Пит Рикеттс (Р)
$102,251 Объем
69%
Независимый
$29,242 Объем
31%
Демократ
$88,034 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Nebraska Senate race because of the state's consistent Republican tilt, his primary victory with more than 81 percent of the vote in May, and the structural advantages of incumbency after his 2023 appointment and 2024 special election win. The contest has narrowed to a head-to-head matchup following Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank's July withdrawal, which consolidated non-Republican support behind independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader who came within seven points of Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Recent polling averages show Ricketts ahead by roughly four to six points, producing implied probabilities that align with the current market consensus while leaving room for shifts driven by turnout among independents and late-cycle dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$219,527Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Nebraska Senate race because of the state's consistent Republican tilt, his primary victory with more than 81 percent of the vote in May, and the structural advantages of incumbency after his 2023 appointment and 2024 special election win. The contest has narrowed to a head-to-head matchup following Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank's July withdrawal, which consolidated non-Republican support behind independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader who came within seven points of Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Recent polling averages show Ricketts ahead by roughly four to six points, producing implied probabilities that align with the current market consensus while leaving room for shifts driven by turnout among independents and late-cycle dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$219,527Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Nebraska Senate race because of the state's consistent Republican tilt, his primary victory with more than 81 percent of the vote in May, and the structural advantages of incumbency after his 2023 appointment and 2024 special election win. The contest has narrowed to a head-to-head matchup following Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank's July withdrawal, which consolidated non-Republican support behind independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader who came within seven points of Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Recent polling averages show Ricketts ahead by roughly four to six points, producing implied probabilities that align with the current market consensus while leaving room for shifts driven by turnout among independents and late-cycle dynamics before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы