Morocco's September 23, 2026, legislative elections feature the incumbent RNI-led coalition facing broad voter skepticism that has kept the contest for second place unusually tight. PAM holds the strongest position among challengers based on current parliamentary strength and organizational reach, while Istiqlal, UC, and others remain competitive due to fragmented opposition dynamics and ongoing cross-party discussions on electoral rules. Recent preparations, including 2025 framework talks and party leadership shifts, have reinforced uncertainty over vote distribution without producing decisive shifts. Traders price limited separation because historical coalition patterns, regional strongholds, and turnout variables could still reorder the middle rankings before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRNI 40%
PAM 34%
PI 28%
MP 5.0%

RNI
40%

PAM
34%

PI
28%

MP
5%

PPS
3%

USFP
25%

PJD
1%

UC
-
RNI 40%
PAM 34%
PI 28%
MP 5.0%

RNI
40%

PAM
34%

PI
28%

MP
5%

PPS
3%

USFP
25%

PJD
1%

UC
-
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morocco's September 23, 2026, legislative elections feature the incumbent RNI-led coalition facing broad voter skepticism that has kept the contest for second place unusually tight. PAM holds the strongest position among challengers based on current parliamentary strength and organizational reach, while Istiqlal, UC, and others remain competitive due to fragmented opposition dynamics and ongoing cross-party discussions on electoral rules. Recent preparations, including 2025 framework talks and party leadership shifts, have reinforced uncertainty over vote distribution without producing decisive shifts. Traders price limited separation because historical coalition patterns, regional strongholds, and turnout variables could still reorder the middle rankings before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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