Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Warsaw will see persistent westerly flow with showers and cloud cover on September 21, limiting daytime warming while moderating overnight radiative cooling. Expected minimum temperatures cluster around 9–11°C amid 15–16°C afternoon highs and moderate winds, though ensemble spreads allow for either stronger cold advection dropping readings below 6°C or clearer breaks pushing the low above 16°C. This model divergence, combined with the short two-day horizon before resolution, underpins the near-even market split between the extreme outcomes while intermediate bins reflect lower trader conviction in the precise threshold. Updated runs from official agencies will likely narrow the range ahead of the 21st.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 21 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 21 сентября?
6°C или ниже 100%
16°C или выше 90%
12°C 39%
7°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
100%
7°C
37%
8°C
37%
9°C
37%
10°C
28%
11°C
21%
12°C
39%
13°C
37%
14°C
37%
15°C
37%
16°C или выше
90%
6°C или ниже 100%
16°C или выше 90%
12°C 39%
7°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
7°C
$0 Объем
37%
8°C
$0 Объем
37%
9°C
$0 Объем
37%
10°C
$0 Объем
28%
11°C
$0 Объем
21%
12°C
$0 Объем
39%
13°C
$0 Объем
37%
14°C
$0 Объем
37%
15°C
$0 Объем
37%
16°C или выше
$0 Объем
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Warsaw will see persistent westerly flow with showers and cloud cover on September 21, limiting daytime warming while moderating overnight radiative cooling. Expected minimum temperatures cluster around 9–11°C amid 15–16°C afternoon highs and moderate winds, though ensemble spreads allow for either stronger cold advection dropping readings below 6°C or clearer breaks pushing the low above 16°C. This model divergence, combined with the short two-day horizon before resolution, underpins the near-even market split between the extreme outcomes while intermediate bins reflect lower trader conviction in the precise threshold. Updated runs from official agencies will likely narrow the range ahead of the 21st.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Warsaw will see persistent westerly flow with showers and cloud cover on September 21, limiting daytime warming while moderating overnight radiative cooling. Expected minimum temperatures cluster around 9–11°C amid 15–16°C afternoon highs and moderate winds, though ensemble spreads allow for either stronger cold advection dropping readings below 6°C or clearer breaks pushing the low above 16°C. This model divergence, combined with the short two-day horizon before resolution, underpins the near-even market split between the extreme outcomes while intermediate bins reflect lower trader conviction in the precise threshold. Updated runs from official agencies will likely narrow the range ahead of the 21st.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Warsaw will see persistent westerly flow with showers and cloud cover on September 21, limiting daytime warming while moderating overnight radiative cooling. Expected minimum temperatures cluster around 9–11°C amid 15–16°C afternoon highs and moderate winds, though ensemble spreads allow for either stronger cold advection dropping readings below 6°C or clearer breaks pushing the low above 16°C. This model divergence, combined with the short two-day horizon before resolution, underpins the near-even market split between the extreme outcomes while intermediate bins reflect lower trader conviction in the precise threshold. Updated runs from official agencies will likely narrow the range ahead of the 21st.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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