Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in London on September 19, driven by mild southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited solar heating amid humid conditions. This aligns with the market's strong 61.5% implied probability for 22°C, as current observations show temperatures climbing to the low 20s by midday before any afternoon rain develops. Historical September averages hover near 18–20°C, but the present steering pattern and pressure setup support a modest anomaly without reaching 24°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 21–23°C window heavily, with fresh model runs and official updates expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 19 сентября?
22°C 62%
23°C 24%
21°C 13%
24°C 2%
$33,671 Объем
$33,671 Объем
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
13%
22°C
62%
23°C
24%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C или выше
<1%
22°C 62%
23°C 24%
21°C 13%
24°C 2%
$33,671 Объем
$33,671 Объем
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
13%
22°C
62%
23°C
24%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in London on September 19, driven by mild southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited solar heating amid humid conditions. This aligns with the market's strong 61.5% implied probability for 22°C, as current observations show temperatures climbing to the low 20s by midday before any afternoon rain develops. Historical September averages hover near 18–20°C, but the present steering pattern and pressure setup support a modest anomaly without reaching 24°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 21–23°C window heavily, with fresh model runs and official updates expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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