**Model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 14–15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 20.** Current short-range forecasts show southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions limiting daytime warming to near or slightly above the September climatological average of 14–15°C, with limited potential for stronger northerlies to push values toward 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable spring conditions without significant warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would shift the distribution. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, which narrows uncertainty ahead of the final model runs before the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 20 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 20 сентября?
15°C 58%
14°C 28%
16°C 16%
13°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
28%
15°C
58%
16°C
16%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
15°C 58%
14°C 28%
16°C 16%
13°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$181 Объем
<1%
10°C
$277 Объем
<1%
11°C
$0 Объем
2%
12°C
$125 Объем
3%
13°C
$71 Объем
4%
14°C
$818 Объем
28%
15°C
$444 Объем
58%
16°C
$2,269 Объем
16%
17°C
$0 Объем
2%
18°C
$119 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$181 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 14–15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 20.** Current short-range forecasts show southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions limiting daytime warming to near or slightly above the September climatological average of 14–15°C, with limited potential for stronger northerlies to push values toward 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable spring conditions without significant warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would shift the distribution. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, which narrows uncertainty ahead of the final model runs before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$4,484Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 14–15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 20.** Current short-range forecasts show southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions limiting daytime warming to near or slightly above the September climatological average of 14–15°C, with limited potential for stronger northerlies to push values toward 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable spring conditions without significant warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would shift the distribution. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, which narrows uncertainty ahead of the final model runs before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,484Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 14–15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 20.** Current short-range forecasts show southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions limiting daytime warming to near or slightly above the September climatological average of 14–15°C, with limited potential for stronger northerlies to push values toward 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable spring conditions without significant warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would shift the distribution. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, which narrows uncertainty ahead of the final model runs before the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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