Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates a mild westerly flow over southern England on September 18, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity. This aligns with the market's leading 54% implied probability for 20°C and 32% for 19°C, as current guidance shows highs stabilizing around 18–20°C without significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour outlook, though minor variations in cloud cover or shower timing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical September range and stable synoptic pattern against the short lead time before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 18 сентября?
20°C 54%
19°C 32%
21°C 9%
18°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
32%
20°C
54%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
<1%
20°C 54%
19°C 32%
21°C 9%
18°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$161 Объем
<1%
16°C
$25 Объем
2%
17°C
$0 Объем
2%
18°C
$124 Объем
6%
19°C
$755 Объем
32%
20°C
$483 Объем
54%
21°C
$114 Объем
9%
22°C
$310 Объем
3%
23°C
$53 Объем
2%
24°C
$184 Объем
1%
25°C или выше
$545 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates a mild westerly flow over southern England on September 18, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity. This aligns with the market's leading 54% implied probability for 20°C and 32% for 19°C, as current guidance shows highs stabilizing around 18–20°C without significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour outlook, though minor variations in cloud cover or shower timing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical September range and stable synoptic pattern against the short lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$2,755Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates a mild westerly flow over southern England on September 18, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity. This aligns with the market's leading 54% implied probability for 20°C and 32% for 19°C, as current guidance shows highs stabilizing around 18–20°C without significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour outlook, though minor variations in cloud cover or shower timing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical September range and stable synoptic pattern against the short lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,755Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates a mild westerly flow over southern England on September 18, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity. This aligns with the market's leading 54% implied probability for 20°C and 32% for 19°C, as current guidance shows highs stabilizing around 18–20°C without significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour outlook, though minor variations in cloud cover or shower timing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical September range and stable synoptic pattern against the short lead time before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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