Close market-implied odds between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance for Mexico City’s maximum temperature on September 18. The city’s high elevation near 2,240 meters and ongoing rainy season favor afternoon convection, with variable cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture advection from the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico moderating daytime highs. Recent model runs show spread in simulated boundary-layer moisture and timing of any precipitation, directly affecting peak temperatures. Historical mid-September climatology places typical maxima around 22–24°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current ensemble consensus and local urban-heat influences. Updated National Meteorological Service and global model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 18 сентября?
25°C или выше 36%
24°C 32%
23°C 26%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
26%
24°C
32%
25°C или выше
36%
25°C или выше 36%
24°C 32%
23°C 26%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$31 Объем
<1%
16°C
$31 Объем
<1%
17°C
$31 Объем
<1%
18°C
$31 Объем
<1%
19°C
$31 Объем
<1%
20°C
$0 Объем
2%
21°C
$17 Объем
4%
22°C
$18 Объем
10%
23°C
$274 Объем
26%
24°C
$226 Объем
32%
25°C или выше
$426 Объем
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close market-implied odds between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance for Mexico City’s maximum temperature on September 18. The city’s high elevation near 2,240 meters and ongoing rainy season favor afternoon convection, with variable cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture advection from the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico moderating daytime highs. Recent model runs show spread in simulated boundary-layer moisture and timing of any precipitation, directly affecting peak temperatures. Historical mid-September climatology places typical maxima around 22–24°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current ensemble consensus and local urban-heat influences. Updated National Meteorological Service and global model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,116Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close market-implied odds between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance for Mexico City’s maximum temperature on September 18. The city’s high elevation near 2,240 meters and ongoing rainy season favor afternoon convection, with variable cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture advection from the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico moderating daytime highs. Recent model runs show spread in simulated boundary-layer moisture and timing of any precipitation, directly affecting peak temperatures. Historical mid-September climatology places typical maxima around 22–24°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current ensemble consensus and local urban-heat influences. Updated National Meteorological Service and global model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,116Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Close market-implied odds between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance for Mexico City’s maximum temperature on September 18. The city’s high elevation near 2,240 meters and ongoing rainy season favor afternoon convection, with variable cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture advection from the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico moderating daytime highs. Recent model runs show spread in simulated boundary-layer moisture and timing of any precipitation, directly affecting peak temperatures. Historical mid-September climatology places typical maxima around 22–24°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current ensemble consensus and local urban-heat influences. Updated National Meteorological Service and global model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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