Official Met Office forecasts and supporting model guidance have consistently projected a maximum of 20°C for London on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation risk, aligning with observed afternoon readings near 18–19°C that have not exceeded this threshold. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.7% implied probability for 20°C, as traders weigh real-time surface observations against climatological norms for mid-September in southeast England. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud persistence or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak by 1°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 16 сентября?
20°C 100.0%
15°C или ниже <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$71,005 Объем
$71,005 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
20°C 100.0%
15°C или ниже <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$71,005 Объем
$71,005 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$1,604 Объем
<1%
16°C
$400 Объем
<1%
17°C
$1,193 Объем
<1%
18°C
$5,730 Объем
<1%
19°C
$13,462 Объем
<1%
20°C
$21,775 Объем
100%
21°C
$14,404 Объем
<1%
22°C
$5,820 Объем
<1%
23°C
$4,456 Объем
<1%
24°C
$635 Объем
<1%
25°C или выше
$1,526 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and supporting model guidance have consistently projected a maximum of 20°C for London on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation risk, aligning with observed afternoon readings near 18–19°C that have not exceeded this threshold. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.7% implied probability for 20°C, as traders weigh real-time surface observations against climatological norms for mid-September in southeast England. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud persistence or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak by 1°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$71,005Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and supporting model guidance have consistently projected a maximum of 20°C for London on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation risk, aligning with observed afternoon readings near 18–19°C that have not exceeded this threshold. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.7% implied probability for 20°C, as traders weigh real-time surface observations against climatological norms for mid-September in southeast England. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud persistence or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak by 1°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$71,005Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office forecasts and supporting model guidance have consistently projected a maximum of 20°C for London on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation risk, aligning with observed afternoon readings near 18–19°C that have not exceeded this threshold. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.7% implied probability for 20°C, as traders weigh real-time surface observations against climatological norms for mid-September in southeast England. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud persistence or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak by 1°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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