Current National Weather Service point forecasts and supporting model guidance project daily highs near 97–100°F in Austin on September 20 under a persistent upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with late-summer climatology where 90°F is the 1991–2020 average high. These conditions support market-implied probabilities concentrated in the upper bins, though the 48.5% plurality on 89°F or below likely reflects trader weighting of residual model uncertainty, potential minor ridge adjustments, or localized cooling influences ahead of the weekend. Short-term ensembles show limited spread, with heat-index values potentially reaching 105°F; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by NWS stations, and updated guidance or the next model cycle could shift sentiment if steering patterns evolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 20 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 20 сентября?
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 29%
98-99°F 28%
90-91°F 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
5%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
6%
108°F или выше
5%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 29%
98-99°F 28%
90-91°F 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$0 Объем
5%
90-91°F
$8 Объем
22%
92-93°F
$0 Объем
11%
94-95°F
$0 Объем
19%
96-97°F
$0 Объем
29%
98-99°F
$0 Объем
28%
100-101°F
$0 Объем
36%
102-103°F
$0 Объем
19%
104-105°F
$0 Объем
10%
106-107°F
$0 Объем
6%
108°F или выше
$0 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service point forecasts and supporting model guidance project daily highs near 97–100°F in Austin on September 20 under a persistent upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with late-summer climatology where 90°F is the 1991–2020 average high. These conditions support market-implied probabilities concentrated in the upper bins, though the 48.5% plurality on 89°F or below likely reflects trader weighting of residual model uncertainty, potential minor ridge adjustments, or localized cooling influences ahead of the weekend. Short-term ensembles show limited spread, with heat-index values potentially reaching 105°F; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by NWS stations, and updated guidance or the next model cycle could shift sentiment if steering patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$8Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service point forecasts and supporting model guidance project daily highs near 97–100°F in Austin on September 20 under a persistent upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with late-summer climatology where 90°F is the 1991–2020 average high. These conditions support market-implied probabilities concentrated in the upper bins, though the 48.5% plurality on 89°F or below likely reflects trader weighting of residual model uncertainty, potential minor ridge adjustments, or localized cooling influences ahead of the weekend. Short-term ensembles show limited spread, with heat-index values potentially reaching 105°F; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by NWS stations, and updated guidance or the next model cycle could shift sentiment if steering patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service point forecasts and supporting model guidance project daily highs near 97–100°F in Austin on September 20 under a persistent upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with late-summer climatology where 90°F is the 1991–2020 average high. These conditions support market-implied probabilities concentrated in the upper bins, though the 48.5% plurality on 89°F or below likely reflects trader weighting of residual model uncertainty, potential minor ridge adjustments, or localized cooling influences ahead of the weekend. Short-term ensembles show limited spread, with heat-index values potentially reaching 105°F; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by NWS stations, and updated guidance or the next model cycle could shift sentiment if steering patterns evolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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