**Market-implied odds favor a 15°C high in Wellington on September 18 at 58%, followed by 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (17%).** Official MetService guidance and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 15°C under clearing conditions after morning showers, as southerly winds ease following today's frontal passage. This outcome sits modestly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5°C. Traders are weighting the latest forecast consensus and expected station observations (typically Kelburn or airport data), with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 18 сентября?
15°C 58%
14°C 22%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$10,645 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,645 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
22%
15°C
58%
16°C
16%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C или выше
<1%
15°C 58%
14°C 22%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$10,645 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,645 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$253 Объем
<1%
10°C
$299 Объем
<1%
11°C
$333 Объем
<1%
12°C
$561 Объем
1%
13°C
$865 Объем
3%
14°C
$1,545 Объем
22%
15°C
$3,035 Объем
58%
16°C
$2,246 Объем
16%
17°C
$676 Объем
2%
18°C
$552 Объем
1%
19°C или выше
$279 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 15°C high in Wellington on September 18 at 58%, followed by 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (17%).** Official MetService guidance and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 15°C under clearing conditions after morning showers, as southerly winds ease following today's frontal passage. This outcome sits modestly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5°C. Traders are weighting the latest forecast consensus and expected station observations (typically Kelburn or airport data), with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$10,645Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 15°C high in Wellington on September 18 at 58%, followed by 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (17%).** Official MetService guidance and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 15°C under clearing conditions after morning showers, as southerly winds ease following today's frontal passage. This outcome sits modestly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5°C. Traders are weighting the latest forecast consensus and expected station observations (typically Kelburn or airport data), with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,645Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a 15°C high in Wellington on September 18 at 58%, followed by 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (17%).** Official MetService guidance and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 15°C under clearing conditions after morning showers, as southerly winds ease following today's frontal passage. This outcome sits modestly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5°C. Traders are weighting the latest forecast consensus and expected station observations (typically Kelburn or airport data), with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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