**Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models points to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Tokyo on September 20, driven by persistent overcast skies, widespread rain, and northerly flow that limits overnight radiative cooling.** High humidity near 90–95% and steady cloud cover from an approaching front keep temperatures elevated compared to seasonal normals (around 18.7°C), with most guidance showing overnight lows stabilizing near 21–23°C amid 80–100% precipitation chances. Recent model runs and official briefings emphasize minimal diurnal range under these conditions, supporting the market’s heaviest positioning on 22°C (53.5%) and 21°C (40.5%). Resolution will hinge on verified Japan Meteorological Agency observations for the 24-hour period ending September 20.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 20 сентября?
21°C 41%
20°C 10%
23°C 9%
19°C 4%
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
41%
22°C
35%
23°C
9%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
21°C 41%
20°C 10%
23°C 9%
19°C 4%
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
41%
22°C
35%
23°C
9%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models points to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Tokyo on September 20, driven by persistent overcast skies, widespread rain, and northerly flow that limits overnight radiative cooling.** High humidity near 90–95% and steady cloud cover from an approaching front keep temperatures elevated compared to seasonal normals (around 18.7°C), with most guidance showing overnight lows stabilizing near 21–23°C amid 80–100% precipitation chances. Recent model runs and official briefings emphasize minimal diurnal range under these conditions, supporting the market’s heaviest positioning on 22°C (53.5%) and 21°C (40.5%). Resolution will hinge on verified Japan Meteorological Agency observations for the 24-hour period ending September 20.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы