High pressure from an anticyclone aloft over southern China is sustaining sunny periods and dry conditions across Hong Kong on September 20, supporting trader consensus around a 31–33°C peak with 32°C holding the lead at 37% implied probability. Light east to northeast winds of force 2–3, combined with moderate humidity of 55–90%, limit cooling while urban heat effects and strong daytime insolation push maxima toward the upper end of the seasonal average near 30–31°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights isolated showers developing later, which could cap the daily high or allow brief spikes depending on timing and cloud cover. Model runs show limited divergence, but any shift in steering flow or convective timing introduces the main uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 20 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 20 сентября?
32°C 38%
31°C 28%
33°C 27%
30°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$14,895 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,895 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
28%
32°C
38%
33°C
27%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 28%
33°C 27%
30°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$14,895 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,895 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$261 Объем
<1%
27°C
$513 Объем
<1%
28°C
$1,399 Объем
<1%
29°C
$382 Объем
2%
30°C
$1,281 Объем
5%
31°C
$2,314 Объем
28%
32°C
$2,459 Объем
38%
33°C
$4,936 Объем
27%
34°C
$638 Объем
2%
35°C
$135 Объем
<1%
36°C или выше
$577 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure from an anticyclone aloft over southern China is sustaining sunny periods and dry conditions across Hong Kong on September 20, supporting trader consensus around a 31–33°C peak with 32°C holding the lead at 37% implied probability. Light east to northeast winds of force 2–3, combined with moderate humidity of 55–90%, limit cooling while urban heat effects and strong daytime insolation push maxima toward the upper end of the seasonal average near 30–31°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights isolated showers developing later, which could cap the daily high or allow brief spikes depending on timing and cloud cover. Model runs show limited divergence, but any shift in steering flow or convective timing introduces the main uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$14,895Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure from an anticyclone aloft over southern China is sustaining sunny periods and dry conditions across Hong Kong on September 20, supporting trader consensus around a 31–33°C peak with 32°C holding the lead at 37% implied probability. Light east to northeast winds of force 2–3, combined with moderate humidity of 55–90%, limit cooling while urban heat effects and strong daytime insolation push maxima toward the upper end of the seasonal average near 30–31°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights isolated showers developing later, which could cap the daily high or allow brief spikes depending on timing and cloud cover. Model runs show limited divergence, but any shift in steering flow or convective timing introduces the main uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$14,895Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...High pressure from an anticyclone aloft over southern China is sustaining sunny periods and dry conditions across Hong Kong on September 20, supporting trader consensus around a 31–33°C peak with 32°C holding the lead at 37% implied probability. Light east to northeast winds of force 2–3, combined with moderate humidity of 55–90%, limit cooling while urban heat effects and strong daytime insolation push maxima toward the upper end of the seasonal average near 30–31°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights isolated showers developing later, which could cap the daily high or allow brief spikes depending on timing and cloud cover. Model runs show limited divergence, but any shift in steering flow or convective timing introduces the main uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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