Current forecasts and observations from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 18 will reach 25°C, driven by persistent northeast winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-20s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with historical September baselines for the city supporting similar overnight readings. Trader consensus at 97% for 25°C reflects this strong alignment across official guidance. A realistic challenge could arise only from unforecast rapid clearing that allows greater heat loss or a late shift in wind direction introducing cooler air, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 18 сентября?
25°C 97%
24°C 3%
23°C 2.0%
22°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
97%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
25°C 97%
24°C 3%
23°C 2.0%
22°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$139 Объем
<1%
20°C
$139 Объем
<1%
21°C
$117 Объем
<1%
22°C
$180 Объем
1%
23°C
$1,885 Объем
2%
24°C
$3,767 Объем
3%
25°C
$3,474 Объем
97%
26°C
$41 Объем
<1%
27°C
$46 Объем
<1%
28°C
$94 Объем
<1%
29°C или выше
$89 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and observations from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 18 will reach 25°C, driven by persistent northeast winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-20s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with historical September baselines for the city supporting similar overnight readings. Trader consensus at 97% for 25°C reflects this strong alignment across official guidance. A realistic challenge could arise only from unforecast rapid clearing that allows greater heat loss or a late shift in wind direction introducing cooler air, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$9,972Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and observations from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 18 will reach 25°C, driven by persistent northeast winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-20s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with historical September baselines for the city supporting similar overnight readings. Trader consensus at 97% for 25°C reflects this strong alignment across official guidance. A realistic challenge could arise only from unforecast rapid clearing that allows greater heat loss or a late shift in wind direction introducing cooler air, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,972Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts and observations from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 18 will reach 25°C, driven by persistent northeast winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-20s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with historical September baselines for the city supporting similar overnight readings. Trader consensus at 97% for 25°C reflects this strong alignment across official guidance. A realistic challenge could arise only from unforecast rapid clearing that allows greater heat loss or a late shift in wind direction introducing cooler air, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы