Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and high humidity from an approaching low-pressure system are anchoring trader consensus around a 22–24°C minimum in Incheon on August 31, with 22°C edging the market at 35% implied probability. Light easterly winds limit mixing and prevent strong nocturnal cooling, while elevated dew points near 23°C sustain moisture that suppresses radiative heat loss. Model runs show minor spreads in timing of heaviest rain and exact cloud thickness, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts will provide key updates before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 31 августа?
22°C 35%
23°C 35%
24°C 14%
21°C 8%
18°C или ниже
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
8%
22°C
32%
23°C
35%
24°C
27%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
22°C 35%
23°C 35%
24°C 14%
21°C 8%
18°C или ниже
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
8%
22°C
32%
23°C
35%
24°C
27%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and high humidity from an approaching low-pressure system are anchoring trader consensus around a 22–24°C minimum in Incheon on August 31, with 22°C edging the market at 35% implied probability. Light easterly winds limit mixing and prevent strong nocturnal cooling, while elevated dew points near 23°C sustain moisture that suppresses radiative heat loss. Model runs show minor spreads in timing of heaviest rain and exact cloud thickness, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts will provide key updates before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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