Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including WindBorne and WeatherBug models aligned with NOAA guidance, indicate San Francisco's overnight low on September 13 will settle in the upper 50s under clear skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions, driven by a typical late-summer marine layer and onshore flow, support a minimum near 58–59°F, consistent with the historical average low of 56°F and recent September observations. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (62.5%) to the 58–59°F bin while pricing lower odds for extremes below 50°F or above 68°F, reflecting limited model spread and the low likelihood of significant deviation before resolution. Updated evening observations and any final NWS adjustments could refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 13 сентября?
49°F или ниже 100%
68°F или выше 85%
58-59°F 63%
60–61°F 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
49°F или ниже
100%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
63%
60–61°F
24%
62-63°F
40%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
1%
68°F или выше
85%
49°F или ниже 100%
68°F или выше 85%
58-59°F 63%
60–61°F 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
49°F или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
50-51°F
$5 Объем
<1%
52-53°F
$0 Объем
18%
54-55°F
$0 Объем
21%
56-57°F
$5 Объем
22%
58-59°F
$163 Объем
63%
60–61°F
$10 Объем
24%
62-63°F
$0 Объем
40%
64-65°F
$0 Объем
8%
66-67°F
$70 Объем
1%
68°F или выше
$0 Объем
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including WindBorne and WeatherBug models aligned with NOAA guidance, indicate San Francisco's overnight low on September 13 will settle in the upper 50s under clear skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions, driven by a typical late-summer marine layer and onshore flow, support a minimum near 58–59°F, consistent with the historical average low of 56°F and recent September observations. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (62.5%) to the 58–59°F bin while pricing lower odds for extremes below 50°F or above 68°F, reflecting limited model spread and the low likelihood of significant deviation before resolution. Updated evening observations and any final NWS adjustments could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Объем
$254Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including WindBorne and WeatherBug models aligned with NOAA guidance, indicate San Francisco's overnight low on September 13 will settle in the upper 50s under clear skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions, driven by a typical late-summer marine layer and onshore flow, support a minimum near 58–59°F, consistent with the historical average low of 56°F and recent September observations. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (62.5%) to the 58–59°F bin while pricing lower odds for extremes below 50°F or above 68°F, reflecting limited model spread and the low likelihood of significant deviation before resolution. Updated evening observations and any final NWS adjustments could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$254Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including WindBorne and WeatherBug models aligned with NOAA guidance, indicate San Francisco's overnight low on September 13 will settle in the upper 50s under clear skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions, driven by a typical late-summer marine layer and onshore flow, support a minimum near 58–59°F, consistent with the historical average low of 56°F and recent September observations. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (62.5%) to the 58–59°F bin while pricing lower odds for extremes below 50°F or above 68°F, reflecting limited model spread and the low likelihood of significant deviation before resolution. Updated evening observations and any final NWS adjustments could refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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