Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 29–30°C. Ensemble model runs show modest spread due to variable boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, with some solutions dipping toward 17°C or lower if winds remain calm and humidity stays moderate. The 50% market-implied odds on 16°C or below reflect trader weighting of these cooler scenarios against the 42.5% on 26°C or higher, which would require stronger warm advection or increased cloud cover limiting nocturnal heat loss. Historical September lows average near 18–22°C, but current high-pressure patterns and low precipitation probability keep short-term guidance stable ahead of the next model cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чжэнчжоу 14 сентября?
16°C или ниже 100%
26°C или выше 85%
17°C 40%
19°C 39%
16°C или ниже
100%
17°C
40%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
17%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C или выше
85%
16°C или ниже 100%
26°C или выше 85%
17°C 40%
19°C 39%
16°C или ниже
100%
17°C
40%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
17%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C или выше
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 29–30°C. Ensemble model runs show modest spread due to variable boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, with some solutions dipping toward 17°C or lower if winds remain calm and humidity stays moderate. The 50% market-implied odds on 16°C or below reflect trader weighting of these cooler scenarios against the 42.5% on 26°C or higher, which would require stronger warm advection or increased cloud cover limiting nocturnal heat loss. Historical September lows average near 18–22°C, but current high-pressure patterns and low precipitation probability keep short-term guidance stable ahead of the next model cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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